Msif Global Infrastructure Fund Market Value

MRGOX Fund  USD 13.34  0.06  0.45%   
Msif Global's market value is the price at which a share of Msif Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Msif Global Infrastructure investors about its performance. Msif Global is trading at 13.34 as of the 21st of September 2024; that is 0.45% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Msif Global Infrastructure and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Msif Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Msif Global Correlation, Msif Global Volatility and Msif Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Msif Global.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Msif Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Msif Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Msif Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Msif Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Msif Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Msif Global.
0.00
03/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
09/21/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Msif Global on March 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Msif Global Infrastructure or generate 0.0% return on investment in Msif Global over 180 days. Msif Global is related to or competes with Qs Us, Enhanced, Old Westbury, Mutual Of, Federated Global, and Pace Large. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its assets in equity securities issued by companies located throughout ... More

Msif Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Msif Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Msif Global Infrastructure upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Msif Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Msif Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Msif Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Msif Global historical prices to predict the future Msif Global's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Msif Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.7113.3313.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.5413.1613.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.6713.2913.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.3413.0113.68
Details

Msif Global Infrastr Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Msif Mutual Fund to be very steady. Msif Global Infrastr has Sharpe Ratio of 0.3, which conveys that the entity had a 0.3% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Msif Global, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Msif Global's Downside Deviation of 0.763, risk adjusted performance of 0.2633, and Mean Deviation of 0.4582 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.19, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Msif Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Msif Global is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.48  

Average predictability

Msif Global Infrastructure has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Msif Global time series from 25th of March 2024 to 23rd of June 2024 and 23rd of June 2024 to 21st of September 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Msif Global Infrastr price movement. The serial correlation of 0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Msif Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.48
Spearman Rank Test0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.27

Msif Global Infrastr lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Msif Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Msif Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Msif Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Msif Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Msif Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Msif Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Msif Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Msif Global mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Msif Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Msif Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Msif Global mutual fund have on its future price. Msif Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Msif Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Msif Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Msif Global Infrastructure.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Msif Mutual Fund

Msif Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Msif Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Msif with respect to the benefits of owning Msif Global security.
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