Meghmani Organics (India) Market Value

MOL Stock   94.37  4.79  4.83%   
Meghmani Organics' market value is the price at which a share of Meghmani Organics trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Meghmani Organics Limited investors about its performance. Meghmani Organics is trading at 94.37 as of the 2nd of August 2025, a 4.83 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 94.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Meghmani Organics Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Meghmani Organics over a given investment horizon. Check out Meghmani Organics Correlation, Meghmani Organics Volatility and Meghmani Organics Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Meghmani Organics.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Meghmani Organics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Meghmani Organics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Meghmani Organics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Meghmani Organics 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Meghmani Organics' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Meghmani Organics.
0.00
05/04/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
08/02/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Meghmani Organics on May 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Meghmani Organics Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Meghmani Organics over 90 days. Meghmani Organics is related to or competes with DJ Mediaprint, Tata Investment, Bajaj Holdings, Touchwood Entertainment, Kalyani Investment, and Sambhaav Media. Meghmani Organics is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Meghmani Organics Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Meghmani Organics' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Meghmani Organics Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Meghmani Organics Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Meghmani Organics' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Meghmani Organics' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Meghmani Organics historical prices to predict the future Meghmani Organics' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
91.3593.8596.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.93106.51109.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.1795.6898.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
94.3698.63102.91
Details

Meghmani Organics Backtested Returns

Meghmani Organics appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Meghmani Organics has Sharpe Ratio of 0.17, which conveys that the firm had a 0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Meghmani Organics, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Meghmani Organics' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1881, mean deviation of 1.84, and Downside Deviation of 1.99 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Meghmani Organics holds a performance score of 13. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.34, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Meghmani Organics' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Meghmani Organics is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Meghmani Organics' standard deviation, value at risk, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether Meghmani Organics' current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.45  

Average predictability

Meghmani Organics Limited has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Meghmani Organics time series from 4th of May 2025 to 18th of June 2025 and 18th of June 2025 to 2nd of August 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Meghmani Organics price movement. The serial correlation of 0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current Meghmani Organics price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.45
Spearman Rank Test0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance13.41

Meghmani Organics lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Meghmani Organics stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Meghmani Organics' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Meghmani Organics returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Meghmani Organics has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Meghmani Organics regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Meghmani Organics stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Meghmani Organics stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Meghmani Organics stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Meghmani Organics Lagged Returns

When evaluating Meghmani Organics' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Meghmani Organics stock have on its future price. Meghmani Organics autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Meghmani Organics autocorrelation shows the relationship between Meghmani Organics stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Meghmani Organics Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Meghmani Stock

Meghmani Organics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Meghmani Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Meghmani with respect to the benefits of owning Meghmani Organics security.