Holcim Stock Market Value

HCMLF Stock  USD 77.75  2.24  2.80%   
Holcim's market value is the price at which a share of Holcim trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Holcim investors about its performance. Holcim is trading at 77.75 as of the 20th of July 2025. This is a 2.8 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 77.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Holcim and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Holcim over a given investment horizon. Check out Holcim Correlation, Holcim Volatility and Holcim Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Holcim.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Holcim's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Holcim is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Holcim's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Holcim 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Holcim's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Holcim.
0.00
04/21/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/20/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Holcim on April 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Holcim or generate 0.0% return on investment in Holcim over 90 days. Holcim is related to or competes with Lafargeholcim, Monarch Cement, Cementos Pacasmayo, Eagle Materials, HeidelbergCement, and BASF SE. Holcim Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a building materials and solutions company in the Asia Pacific, ... More

Holcim Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Holcim's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Holcim upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Holcim Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Holcim's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Holcim's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Holcim historical prices to predict the future Holcim's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
71.6777.7583.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.1871.2685.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
84.9891.0697.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
75.3078.0180.71
Details

Holcim Backtested Returns

Holcim holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0404, which attests that the entity had a -0.0404 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Holcim exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Holcim's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), market risk adjusted performance of 2.58, and Standard Deviation of 5.95 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0748, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Holcim are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Holcim is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Holcim has a negative expected return of -0.25%. Please make sure to check out Holcim's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Holcim performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.69  

Very good reverse predictability

Holcim has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Holcim time series from 21st of April 2025 to 5th of June 2025 and 5th of June 2025 to 20th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Holcim price movement. The serial correlation of -0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Holcim price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.69
Spearman Rank Test-0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance354.34

Holcim lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Holcim pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Holcim's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Holcim returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Holcim has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Holcim regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Holcim pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Holcim pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Holcim pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Holcim Lagged Returns

When evaluating Holcim's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Holcim pink sheet have on its future price. Holcim autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Holcim autocorrelation shows the relationship between Holcim pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Holcim.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Holcim Pink Sheet

Holcim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Holcim Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Holcim with respect to the benefits of owning Holcim security.