Guidepath Tactical Allocation Fund Market Value

GPTUX Fund  USD 13.49  0.14  1.05%   
Guidepath Tactical's market value is the price at which a share of Guidepath Tactical trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Guidepath Tactical Allocation investors about its performance. Guidepath Tactical is trading at 13.49 as of the 23rd of July 2025; that is 1.05 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Guidepath Tactical Allocation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Guidepath Tactical over a given investment horizon. Check out Guidepath Tactical Correlation, Guidepath Tactical Volatility and Guidepath Tactical Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Guidepath Tactical.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Guidepath Tactical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guidepath Tactical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guidepath Tactical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Guidepath Tactical 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guidepath Tactical's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guidepath Tactical.
0.00
04/24/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/23/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Guidepath Tactical on April 24, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guidepath Tactical Allocation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guidepath Tactical over 90 days. Guidepath Tactical is related to or competes with Ab Select, Ab Core, Ep Emerging, Pnc Emerging, Ab All, Qs Growth, and Calvert Developed. In seeking to maximize total return, under normal circumstances, the funds assets are allocated into a diversified portfolio consisting of domestic and international equity securities and Global Depositary Receipts , domestic and international fixed income securities, exchange-traded funds , mutual funds and cash equivalent money market securities. More

Guidepath Tactical Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guidepath Tactical's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guidepath Tactical Allocation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Guidepath Tactical Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guidepath Tactical's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guidepath Tactical's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guidepath Tactical historical prices to predict the future Guidepath Tactical's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guidepath Tactical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.1414.7915.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.4514.0114.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.7813.3513.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.3413.3414.17
Details

Guidepath Tactical Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Guidepath Mutual Fund to be very steady. Guidepath Tactical holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.22, which attests that the entity had a 0.22 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Guidepath Tactical, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Guidepath Tactical's Downside Deviation of 0.6018, risk adjusted performance of 0.2079, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2538 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.52, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Guidepath Tactical's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guidepath Tactical is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.88  

Very good predictability

Guidepath Tactical Allocation has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guidepath Tactical time series from 24th of April 2025 to 8th of June 2025 and 8th of June 2025 to 23rd of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guidepath Tactical price movement. The serial correlation of 0.88 indicates that approximately 88.0% of current Guidepath Tactical price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.88
Spearman Rank Test0.77
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Guidepath Tactical lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Guidepath Tactical mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guidepath Tactical's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guidepath Tactical returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guidepath Tactical has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Guidepath Tactical regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guidepath Tactical mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guidepath Tactical mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guidepath Tactical mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Guidepath Tactical Lagged Returns

When evaluating Guidepath Tactical's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guidepath Tactical mutual fund have on its future price. Guidepath Tactical autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guidepath Tactical autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guidepath Tactical mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guidepath Tactical Allocation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Guidepath Mutual Fund

Guidepath Tactical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guidepath Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guidepath with respect to the benefits of owning Guidepath Tactical security.
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