Global Payments (Germany) Market Value
| GLO Stock | EUR 67.50 2.10 3.02% |
| Symbol | Global |
Global Payments 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Global Payments' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Global Payments.
| 05/07/2025 |
| 08/05/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Global Payments on May 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Global Payments or generate 0.0% return on investment in Global Payments over 90 days. Global Payments is related to or competes with Automatic Data, Fiserv, Paychex, Experian Plc, Verisk Analytics, and Equifax. Global Payments Inc. provides payment technology and software solutions for card, electronic, check, and digital-based p... More
Global Payments Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Global Payments' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Global Payments upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.08 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.63) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.67 |
Global Payments Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Global Payments' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Global Payments' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Global Payments historical prices to predict the future Global Payments' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0341 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0112 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1302 |
Global Payments Backtested Returns
Global Payments holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.012, which attests that the entity had a -0.012 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Global Payments exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Global Payments' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0341, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1402, and Downside Deviation of 1.63 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.42, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Global Payments' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Global Payments is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Global Payments has a negative expected return of -0.022%. Please make sure to check out Global Payments' total risk alpha, value at risk, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and downside variance , to decide if Global Payments performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.4 |
Poor reverse predictability
Global Payments has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Global Payments time series from 7th of May 2025 to 21st of June 2025 and 21st of June 2025 to 5th of August 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Global Payments price movement. The serial correlation of -0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Global Payments price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.4 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.46 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 3.52 |
Global Payments lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Global Payments stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Global Payments' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Global Payments returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Global Payments has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Global Payments regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Global Payments stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Global Payments stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Global Payments stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Global Payments Lagged Returns
When evaluating Global Payments' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Global Payments stock have on its future price. Global Payments autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Global Payments autocorrelation shows the relationship between Global Payments stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Global Payments.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
| USOI | Credit Suisse X Links | |
| ULTY | Tidal Trust II | |
| CONY | YieldMax N Option | |
| BCAT | BlackRock Capital Allocation | |
| PDI | Pimco Dynamic Income |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Global Stock
When determining whether Global Payments offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Global Payments' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Global Payments Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Global Payments Stock:Check out Global Payments Correlation, Global Payments Volatility and Global Payments Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Global Payments. For more detail on how to invest in Global Stock please use our How to Invest in Global Payments guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Global Payments technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.