Fulcrum Diversified Absolute Fund Market Value

FARIX Fund  USD 9.75  0.03  0.31%   
Fulcrum Diversified's market value is the price at which a share of Fulcrum Diversified trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fulcrum Diversified Absolute investors about its performance. Fulcrum Diversified is trading at 9.75 as of the 19th of November 2024; that is 0.31 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.72.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fulcrum Diversified Absolute and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fulcrum Diversified over a given investment horizon. Check out Fulcrum Diversified Correlation, Fulcrum Diversified Volatility and Fulcrum Diversified Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fulcrum Diversified.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fulcrum Diversified's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fulcrum Diversified is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fulcrum Diversified's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fulcrum Diversified 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fulcrum Diversified's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fulcrum Diversified.
0.00
08/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/19/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fulcrum Diversified on August 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fulcrum Diversified Absolute or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fulcrum Diversified over 90 days. Fulcrum Diversified is related to or competes with Alliancebernstein, California High, Lgm Risk, Pace High, Franklin High, and Needham Aggressive. In seeking to achieve its aim of long-term absolute returns, the fund aims to hold a diversified portfolio and achieve l... More

Fulcrum Diversified Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fulcrum Diversified's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fulcrum Diversified Absolute upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fulcrum Diversified Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fulcrum Diversified's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fulcrum Diversified's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fulcrum Diversified historical prices to predict the future Fulcrum Diversified's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.399.7510.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.379.7310.09
Details

Fulcrum Diversified Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Fulcrum Mutual Fund to be very steady. Fulcrum Diversified secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0427, which denotes the fund had a 0.0427% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Fulcrum Diversified Absolute, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Fulcrum Diversified's Downside Deviation of 0.3458, mean deviation of 0.2721, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1679.53 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0151%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.18, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Fulcrum Diversified's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fulcrum Diversified is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.19  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Fulcrum Diversified Absolute has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fulcrum Diversified time series from 21st of August 2024 to 5th of October 2024 and 5th of October 2024 to 19th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fulcrum Diversified price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Fulcrum Diversified price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.19
Spearman Rank Test-0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Fulcrum Diversified lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fulcrum Diversified mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fulcrum Diversified's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fulcrum Diversified returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fulcrum Diversified has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fulcrum Diversified regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fulcrum Diversified mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fulcrum Diversified mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fulcrum Diversified mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fulcrum Diversified Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fulcrum Diversified's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fulcrum Diversified mutual fund have on its future price. Fulcrum Diversified autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fulcrum Diversified autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fulcrum Diversified mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fulcrum Diversified Absolute.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Fulcrum Mutual Fund

Fulcrum Diversified financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fulcrum Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fulcrum with respect to the benefits of owning Fulcrum Diversified security.
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