Intermediate Government Bond Fund Market Value

DPIGX Fund  USD 9.47  0.01  0.11%   
Intermediate Government's market value is the price at which a share of Intermediate Government trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Intermediate Government Bond investors about its performance. Intermediate Government is trading at 9.47 as of the 10th of November 2024; that is 0.11 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.46.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Intermediate Government Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Intermediate Government over a given investment horizon. Check out Intermediate Government Correlation, Intermediate Government Volatility and Intermediate Government Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Intermediate Government.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Intermediate Government's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intermediate Government is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intermediate Government's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Intermediate Government 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Intermediate Government's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Intermediate Government.
0.00
10/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/10/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Intermediate Government on October 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Intermediate Government Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Intermediate Government over 30 days. Intermediate Government is related to or competes with Icon Natural, Energy Basic, Invesco Energy, Jennison Natural, Franklin Natural, Oil Gas, and Goehring Rozencwajg. At least eighty percent of the fund will be invested in securities issued by the U.S More

Intermediate Government Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Intermediate Government's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Intermediate Government Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Intermediate Government Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Intermediate Government's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Intermediate Government's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Intermediate Government historical prices to predict the future Intermediate Government's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.529.809.88
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.668.7410.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Intermediate Government. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Intermediate Government's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Intermediate Government's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Intermediate Government.

Intermediate Government Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Intermediate Mutual Fund to be very steady. Intermediate Government holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.15, which attests that the entity had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Intermediate Government, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Intermediate Government's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.039, coefficient of variation of 585.35, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0114%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0219, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Intermediate Government are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Intermediate Government is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.33  

Poor reverse predictability

Intermediate Government Bond has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Intermediate Government time series from 11th of October 2024 to 26th of October 2024 and 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Intermediate Government price movement. The serial correlation of -0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current Intermediate Government price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.33
Spearman Rank Test-0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Intermediate Government lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Intermediate Government mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Intermediate Government's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Intermediate Government returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Intermediate Government has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Intermediate Government regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Intermediate Government mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Intermediate Government mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Intermediate Government mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Intermediate Government Lagged Returns

When evaluating Intermediate Government's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Intermediate Government mutual fund have on its future price. Intermediate Government autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Intermediate Government autocorrelation shows the relationship between Intermediate Government mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Intermediate Government Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Intermediate Mutual Fund

Intermediate Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intermediate Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intermediate with respect to the benefits of owning Intermediate Government security.
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