Carlyle Secured Lending Stock Market Value

CGBD Stock  USD 16.97  0.08  0.47%   
Carlyle Secured's market value is the price at which a share of Carlyle Secured trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Carlyle Secured Lending investors about its performance. Carlyle Secured is trading at 16.97 as of the 1st of October 2024, a 0.47 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 16.95.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Carlyle Secured Lending and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Carlyle Secured over a given investment horizon. Check out Carlyle Secured Correlation, Carlyle Secured Volatility and Carlyle Secured Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Carlyle Secured.
Symbol

Carlyle Secured Lending Price To Book Ratio

Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carlyle Secured. If investors know Carlyle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Carlyle Secured listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.402
Dividend Share
1.54
Earnings Share
1.91
Revenue Per Share
4.793
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of Carlyle Secured Lending is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Carlyle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Carlyle Secured's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Carlyle Secured's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Carlyle Secured's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Carlyle Secured's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Carlyle Secured's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carlyle Secured is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carlyle Secured's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Carlyle Secured 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Carlyle Secured's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Carlyle Secured.
0.00
09/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
10/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Carlyle Secured on September 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Carlyle Secured Lending or generate 0.0% return on investment in Carlyle Secured over 30 days. Carlyle Secured is related to or competes with Blackrock Muniholdings, DTF Tax, John Hancock, MFS Investment, Blackrock Muniyield, Blackrock Muni, and Blackrock Muniyield. TCG BDC, Inc. is business development company specializing in first lien debt, senior secured loans, second lien senior ... More

Carlyle Secured Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Carlyle Secured's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Carlyle Secured Lending upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Carlyle Secured Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Carlyle Secured's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Carlyle Secured's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Carlyle Secured historical prices to predict the future Carlyle Secured's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Carlyle Secured's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.7216.9718.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.9916.2417.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.8417.0918.34
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.2015.6017.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Carlyle Secured. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Carlyle Secured's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Carlyle Secured's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Carlyle Secured Lending.

Carlyle Secured Lending Backtested Returns

Carlyle Secured Lending secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0488, which signifies that the company had a -0.0488% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Carlyle Secured Lending exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Carlyle Secured's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), mean deviation of 0.886, and Standard Deviation of 1.24 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.8, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Carlyle Secured's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Carlyle Secured is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Carlyle Secured Lending has a negative expected return of -0.0609%. Please make sure to confirm Carlyle Secured's maximum drawdown, kurtosis, day median price, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and daily balance of power , to decide if Carlyle Secured Lending performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.39  

Below average predictability

Carlyle Secured Lending has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Carlyle Secured time series from 1st of September 2024 to 16th of September 2024 and 16th of September 2024 to 1st of October 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Carlyle Secured Lending price movement. The serial correlation of 0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current Carlyle Secured price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.39
Spearman Rank Test0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Carlyle Secured Lending lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Carlyle Secured stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Carlyle Secured's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Carlyle Secured returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Carlyle Secured has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Carlyle Secured regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Carlyle Secured stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Carlyle Secured stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Carlyle Secured stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Carlyle Secured Lagged Returns

When evaluating Carlyle Secured's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Carlyle Secured stock have on its future price. Carlyle Secured autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Carlyle Secured autocorrelation shows the relationship between Carlyle Secured stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Carlyle Secured Lending.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Carlyle Stock

When determining whether Carlyle Secured Lending is a strong investment it is important to analyze Carlyle Secured's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Carlyle Secured's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Carlyle Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Carlyle Secured Correlation, Carlyle Secured Volatility and Carlyle Secured Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Carlyle Secured.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Carlyle Secured technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Carlyle Secured technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Carlyle Secured trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...