Calvert Conservative Allocation Fund Market Value
| CFAIX Fund | USD 18.10 0.01 0.06% |
| Symbol | Calvert |
Calvert Conservative 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Calvert Conservative's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Calvert Conservative.
| 11/26/2024 |
| 12/26/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Calvert Conservative on November 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Calvert Conservative Allocation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Calvert Conservative over 30 days. Calvert Conservative is related to or competes with Calvert Moderate, Calvert Aggressive, Calvert Small, Calvert Balanced, and Calvert Large. The fund is a fund of funds that seeks to achieve its investment objectives by primarily allocating its assets among und... More
Calvert Conservative Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Calvert Conservative's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Calvert Conservative Allocation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.21) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.14 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.50) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.4442 |
Calvert Conservative Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Calvert Conservative's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Calvert Conservative's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Calvert Conservative historical prices to predict the future Calvert Conservative's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.12) |
Calvert Conservative Backtested Returns
Calvert Conservative secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0937, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0937% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Calvert Conservative Allocation exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Calvert Conservative's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), mean deviation of 0.2551, and Standard Deviation of 0.3363 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.28, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Calvert Conservative's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Calvert Conservative is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.86 |
Excellent reverse predictability
Calvert Conservative Allocation has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Calvert Conservative time series from 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024 and 11th of December 2024 to 26th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Calvert Conservative price movement. The serial correlation of -0.86 indicates that approximately 86.0% of current Calvert Conservative price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.86 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.33 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Calvert Conservative lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Calvert Conservative mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Calvert Conservative's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Calvert Conservative returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Calvert Conservative has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Calvert Conservative regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Calvert Conservative mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Calvert Conservative mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Calvert Conservative mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Calvert Conservative Lagged Returns
When evaluating Calvert Conservative's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Calvert Conservative mutual fund have on its future price. Calvert Conservative autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Calvert Conservative autocorrelation shows the relationship between Calvert Conservative mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Calvert Conservative Allocation.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Calvert Mutual Fund
Calvert Conservative financial ratios help investors to determine whether Calvert Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Calvert with respect to the benefits of owning Calvert Conservative security.
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