Timber Point Alternative Fund Market Value
| AIIFX Fund | USD 8.23 0.01 0.12% |
| Symbol | Timber |
Timber Point 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Timber Point's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Timber Point.
| 04/22/2025 |
| 07/21/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Timber Point on April 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Timber Point Alternative or generate 0.0% return on investment in Timber Point over 90 days. Timber Point is related to or competes with Crow Point, Pimco International, Vanguard Total, Ab Flexfee, Massmutual Retiresmart, and Ridgeworth Seix. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective under normal market conditions by allocating assets among credit-rela... More
Timber Point Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Timber Point's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Timber Point Alternative upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.3707 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.22) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.38 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.49) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.5083 |
Timber Point Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Timber Point's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Timber Point's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Timber Point historical prices to predict the future Timber Point's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2219 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0365 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0252 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2934 |
Timber Point Alternative Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Timber Mutual Fund to be very steady. Timber Point Alternative owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.26, which indicates the fund had a 0.26 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Timber Point Alternative, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Timber Point's Semi Deviation of 0.0518, risk adjusted performance of 0.2219, and Coefficient Of Variation of 382.71 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0726%. The entity has a beta of 0.22, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Timber Point's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Timber Point is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.74 |
Good predictability
Timber Point Alternative has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Timber Point time series from 22nd of April 2025 to 6th of June 2025 and 6th of June 2025 to 21st of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Timber Point Alternative price movement. The serial correlation of 0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current Timber Point price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.74 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.86 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Timber Point Alternative lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Timber Point mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Timber Point's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Timber Point returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Timber Point has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Timber Point regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Timber Point mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Timber Point mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Timber Point mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Timber Point Lagged Returns
When evaluating Timber Point's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Timber Point mutual fund have on its future price. Timber Point autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Timber Point autocorrelation shows the relationship between Timber Point mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Timber Point Alternative.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Timber Mutual Fund
Timber Point financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timber Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timber with respect to the benefits of owning Timber Point security.
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