Southern Steel (Malaysia) Market Value

5665 Stock   0.52  0.02  3.70%   
Southern Steel's market value is the price at which a share of Southern Steel trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Southern Steel Bhd investors about its performance. Southern Steel is selling for 0.52 as of the 18th of December 2024. This is a 3.7 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.51.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Southern Steel Bhd and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Southern Steel over a given investment horizon. Check out Southern Steel Correlation, Southern Steel Volatility and Southern Steel Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Southern Steel.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Southern Steel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Southern Steel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Southern Steel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Southern Steel 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Southern Steel's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Southern Steel.
0.00
11/18/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/18/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Southern Steel on November 18, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Southern Steel Bhd or generate 0.0% return on investment in Southern Steel over 30 days. Southern Steel is related to or competes with Press Metal, PMB Technology, Pantech Group, Coraza Integrated, Malaysia Steel, and Choo Bee. More

Southern Steel Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Southern Steel's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Southern Steel Bhd upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Southern Steel Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Southern Steel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Southern Steel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Southern Steel historical prices to predict the future Southern Steel's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.523.54
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.453.47
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Southern Steel Bhd Backtested Returns

As of now, Southern Stock is abnormally volatile. Southern Steel Bhd owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.035, which indicates the firm had a 0.035% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Southern Steel Bhd, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Southern Steel's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0127, coefficient of variation of 14773.98, and Semi Deviation of 2.47 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.1%. Southern Steel has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.32, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Southern Steel's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Southern Steel is expected to be smaller as well. Southern Steel Bhd right now has a risk of 3.0%. Please validate Southern Steel jensen alpha, sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Southern Steel will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.04  

Very weak reverse predictability

Southern Steel Bhd has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Southern Steel time series from 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024 and 3rd of December 2024 to 18th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Southern Steel Bhd price movement. The serial correlation of -0.04 indicates that only as little as 4.0% of current Southern Steel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.04
Spearman Rank Test-0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Southern Steel Bhd lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Southern Steel stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Southern Steel's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Southern Steel returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Southern Steel has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Southern Steel regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Southern Steel stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Southern Steel stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Southern Steel stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Southern Steel Lagged Returns

When evaluating Southern Steel's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Southern Steel stock have on its future price. Southern Steel autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Southern Steel autocorrelation shows the relationship between Southern Steel stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Southern Steel Bhd.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Southern Stock

Southern Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Southern Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Southern with respect to the benefits of owning Southern Steel security.