JD (Germany) Market Value

013A Stock  EUR 28.15  0.75  2.60%   
JD's market value is the price at which a share of JD trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of JD Inc Adr investors about its performance. JD is trading at 28.15 as of the 29th of July 2025. This is a 2.6% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 28.15.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of JD Inc Adr and determine expected loss or profit from investing in JD over a given investment horizon. Check out JD Correlation, JD Volatility and JD Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on JD.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between JD's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JD is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JD's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

JD 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to JD's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of JD.
0.00
04/30/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/29/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in JD on April 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding JD Inc Adr or generate 0.0% return on investment in JD over 90 days. JD is related to or competes with Tencent Holdings, Baidu, Alibaba Group, and BYD Company. More

JD Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure JD's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess JD Inc Adr upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

JD Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for JD's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as JD's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use JD historical prices to predict the future JD's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.8828.1530.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.1424.4130.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.2929.5631.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.4928.0929.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as JD. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against JD's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, JD's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in JD Inc Adr.

JD Inc Adr Backtested Returns

At this point, JD is very steady. JD Inc Adr retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of close to zero, which attests that the entity had a close to zero % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for JD, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out JD's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), standard deviation of 2.25, and Semi Deviation of 1.93 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.006%. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.4, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning JD are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, JD is likely to outperform the market. JD Inc Adr today owns a risk of 2.27%. Please check out JD Inc Adr semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if JD Inc Adr will be following its current price history.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.14  

Insignificant predictability

JD Inc Adr has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between JD time series from 30th of April 2025 to 14th of June 2025 and 14th of June 2025 to 29th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of JD Inc Adr price movement. The serial correlation of 0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current JD price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.14
Spearman Rank Test-0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.49

JD Inc Adr lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is JD stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting JD's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of JD returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that JD has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

JD regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If JD stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if JD stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in JD stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

JD Lagged Returns

When evaluating JD's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of JD stock have on its future price. JD autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, JD autocorrelation shows the relationship between JD stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in JD Inc Adr.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in JD Stock

When determining whether JD Inc Adr is a strong investment it is important to analyze JD's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact JD's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding JD Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out JD Correlation, JD Volatility and JD Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on JD.
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JD technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of JD technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of JD trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...