Is Dropbox Stock a Good Investment?

Dropbox Investment Advice

  DBX
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Dropbox stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Dropbox. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Dropbox in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Dropbox's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Dropbox's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Dropbox navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Application Software space and any emerging trends that could impact Dropbox's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Dropbox's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Dropbox is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Dropbox pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Dropbox's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Dropbox stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Dropbox is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Buy
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Dropbox. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Dropbox is not overpriced, please confirm all Dropbox fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that Dropbox has a price to earning of 24.28 X, we urge you to verify Dropbox market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Dropbox Stock

Researching Dropbox's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.23. Dropbox had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Dropbox is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Dropbox's research are outlined below:
Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Dropbox Inc Shares Up 2.88 percent on Nov 11

Dropbox Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity

2.58 Billion

Dropbox uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Dropbox. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Dropbox's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
15th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
15th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Dropbox's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Dropbox's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-02-20
2019-12-310.140.160.0214 
2019-11-07
2019-09-300.110.130.0218 
2019-08-08
2019-06-300.080.10.0225 
2019-02-21
2018-12-310.080.10.0225 
2020-05-07
2020-03-310.140.170.0321 
2018-05-10
2018-03-310.050.080.0360 
2022-02-17
2021-12-310.370.410.0410 
2021-05-06
2021-03-310.310.350.0412 

Know Dropbox's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Dropbox is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dropbox backward and forwards among themselves. Dropbox's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Dropbox's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Aqr Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
M
Ing Investment Management Llc2024-06-30
2.8 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
2.8 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-06-30
2.6 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-06-30
2.6 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-06-30
2.5 M
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-06-30
2.5 M
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-06-30
2.5 M
Robeco Institutional Asset Management Bv2024-09-30
2.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
27.9 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
27.8 M
Note, although Dropbox's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Dropbox's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 8.49 B.

Market Cap

8.95 Billion

Dropbox's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.18  0.18 
Return On Capital Employed 0.21  0.22 
Return On Assets 0.15  0.16 
Return On Equity(2.74)(2.87)
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.23 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.2 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.2 of operating income.
Determining Dropbox's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Dropbox is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Dropbox's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Dropbox's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Dropbox's Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Please note, the imprecision that can be found in Dropbox's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Dropbox. Check Dropbox's Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of Dropbox's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Dropbox's management efficiency

Dropbox has Return on Asset of 0.105 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.105 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1683 %, implying that it generated $0.1683 on every 100 dollars invested. Dropbox's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Dropbox manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Dropbox's Return On Tangible Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Return On Capital Employed is likely to rise to 0.22 in 2024, whereas Return On Equity is likely to drop (2.87) in 2024. At this time, Dropbox's Other Current Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to rise to 0.18 in 2024, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 2.3 B in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(0.49)(0.46)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(1.83)(1.74)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 20.73  21.76 
Price Book Value Ratio(60.67)(57.63)
Enterprise Value Multiple 20.73  21.76 
Price Fair Value(60.67)(57.63)
Enterprise Value9.8 B8.8 B
Dropbox's management has consistently demonstrated strong leadership, driving both financial growth and operational excellence. By analyzing current market trends and future growth opportunities, we assess the stock's true value and potential for investors.
Beta
0.607

Basic technical analysis of Dropbox Stock

As of the 12th of November 2024, Dropbox shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 460.4, downside deviation of 1.75, and Mean Deviation of 1.18. Dropbox technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.

Dropbox's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Dropbox insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Dropbox's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Dropbox insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Dropbox's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Dropbox issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Dropbox uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Dropbox bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Dropbox has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Dropbox's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Dropbox's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Dropbox's intraday indicators

Dropbox intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Dropbox stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Dropbox Corporate Filings

10Q
8th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
7th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
31st of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
23rd of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
Dropbox time-series forecasting models is one of many Dropbox's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Dropbox's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Dropbox Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Dropbox that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Dropbox media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Dropbox internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Dropbox data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Dropbox news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Dropbox relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Dropbox's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Dropbox alpha.

Dropbox Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Dropbox can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Dropbox Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Dropbox's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dropbox. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dropbox can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dropbox. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Dropbox's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Dropbox and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Dropbox news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Dropbox.

Dropbox Corporate Management

Additional Tools for Dropbox Stock Analysis

When running Dropbox's price analysis, check to measure Dropbox's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dropbox is operating at the current time. Most of Dropbox's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dropbox's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dropbox's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dropbox to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.