Do you have a personal attachment to Local Bounti?

Local Bounti Corp, a notable player in the Farm Products industry, is drawing attention on the NYSE as investors weigh its potential as a strategic addition to their portfolios. With a strong buy consensus from analysts and a lowest estimated target price of $7.28, there's a buzz around its potential upside. Despite posting a loss in recent financials, the stock's valuation real value of $3.57 suggests a promising growth trajectory. As the fiscal year wraps up in December, many are keenly observing how the company's performance aligns with the naive expected forecast value of $2.08. Could this be the opportunity you've been waiting for? Let's take a closer look at Local Bounti Corp. Recently, this company has faced challenges due to market fluctuations, which have been particularly tough on institutional investors. Currently, Local Bounti's stock is priced at $2.08. The stock has a historical hype elasticity of 0.02, indicating a modest reaction to market excitement. It's anticipated that the stock could rise to $2.10 following the next press release. However, the stock's sensitivity to news is extremely high, with headline impact volatility exceeding 100%, making social media predictions less reliable. The expected price increase from the upcoming news is about 0.96%, with a daily return of 0.09%. With a 90-day investment horizon, the next announcement is expected in approximately three days.
Published 3 days ago
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Reviewed by Vlad Skutelnik

Local Bounti Corp, trading in the Farm Products sector, might just be the strategic investment opportunity you've been searching for, especially with its intriguing Jensen Alpha of 0.32, suggesting potential for returns above the market average. Despite a recent price percent change of -0.95, the stock's current quote at 2.08 could present a compelling entry point for those looking to capitalize on its growth potential.

Main Ideas

The asset utilization ratio measures how effectively a company uses its assets to generate revenue. Local Bounti Corp has a ratio of 7.22%, meaning it earns about $0.0722 for every dollar of assets. If this ratio increases, it indicates that Local Bounti is becoming more efficient at using its assets in daily operations.
The successful prediction of Local Bounti stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Local Bounti Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Local Bounti based on Local Bounti hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Local Bounti's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Local Bounti's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Local expected Price

Local Bounti technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Local Bounti technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Local Bounti trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Local Bounti Gross Profit

Local Bounti Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Local Bounti previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Local Bounti Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Local Bounti's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Is Local Bounti valued adequately by the market?

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 27.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (124.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.23 M.

Total Revenue Breakdown

Local Bounti Total Revenue yearly trend continues to be quite stable with very little volatility. Total Revenue may rise above about 33.3 M this year. Total Revenue usually refers to the total amount of income generated by the sale of goods or services related to the company's primary operations. At this time, Local Bounti's Total Revenue is quite stable compared to the past year.
2010
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
201082,000
2021638,000
202219.47 Million
202327.56 Million
202431.69 Million
202533.28 Million
Warren Buffett once said, "Price is what you pay. Value is what you get." This wisdom is particularly relevant when considering Local Bounti Corp as a potential investment. With a market capitalization of $18.18 million and a price-to-sales ratio of 0.52X, the stock may appear undervalued in the Farm Products industry. However, investors should weigh this against the company's significant challenges, such as a high probability of bankruptcy at 96% and a total debt of $327.42 million. While the potential upside is pegged at 5.8, the substantial risks involved demand careful consideration before making a strategic investment decision.

Local Bounti has a good chance to finish above $2.12 in 2 months

Local Bounti Corp's stock is showing encouraging signs, with a market risk-adjusted performance rating of 0.74. This suggests a good balance between risk and return, indicating effective risk management and potential for future gains. Consequently, there's a fair chance the stock could exceed $2.12 within the next two months. This positive outlook is rooted in confidence in the company's strategies and market stance, making it an attractive option for growth-focused investors. As of March 28th, Local Bounti's downside deviation stands at 3.29, with a risk-adjusted performance of 0.0796 and a mean deviation of 2.71. It's advisable to examine the Treynor ratio and the relationship between standard deviation and downside variance to determine if the current price of $2.08 accurately reflects the market's view.
Additionally, consider the total risk alpha, now at 0.4247, to assess the company's future sustainability.As we look ahead to April, Local Bounti Corp's stock presents an intriguing opportunity for investors willing to embrace some risk. With an analyst overall consensus of "Strong Buy" and a possible upside price of 5.36, there's potential for significant gains. However, it's important to weigh this against the possible downside price of 0.0208. The stock's valuation real value stands at 3.57, suggesting that the market might be undervaluing its potential. Investors should keep an eye on market trends and company developments, as these could influence the stock's trajectory. Balancing these factors, Local Bounti could be a compelling choice for those looking to diversify their portfolio with a stock that has room to grow..

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Nico Santiago do not own shares of Local Bounti Corp. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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