Natwest Group Plc Stock Beneish M Score

NWG Stock  USD 10.09  0.01  0.1%   
This module uses fundamental data of Natwest Group to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Natwest Group M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Natwest Group Piotroski F Score and Natwest Group Altman Z Score analysis.
  
The current Short and Long Term Debt Total is estimated to decrease to about 84.2 B. The Natwest Group's current Net Debt is estimated to increase to about (99.3 B). At this time, Natwest Group's Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The Natwest Group's current Capex To Depreciation is estimated to increase to 1.74, while PTB Ratio is projected to decrease to 1.20.
At this time, it appears that Natwest Group PLC is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Natwest Group's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Natwest Group executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Natwest Group's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.75
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.36

Focus
Asset Quality

0.98

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.38

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.89

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.38

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.81

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.1

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

3.05

Focus

Natwest Group Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Natwest Group's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables437.6 M292 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue15.7 B14.2 B
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets657.9 B692.7 B
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Total Current Assets120 B114.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total747.9 B712.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Very volatile
Property Plant Equipment4.8 B4.9 B
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Depreciation And Amortization1.2 B934 M
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable
Selling General Administrative3.1 BB
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities325.1 B182.5 B
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total542.3 B617.9 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt62.9 B71.2 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt45.7 B52.5 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments180.2 B133.9 B
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin1.441.62
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile

Natwest Group PLC Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Natwest Group's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Natwest Group in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Natwest Group's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Natwest Group Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

9.51 Billion

At this time, Natwest Group's Other Operating Expenses is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years.

Natwest Group Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Natwest Group. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables275M216M248M327M292M437.6M
Total Revenue14.3B10.8B10.5B13.2B14.2B15.7B
Total Assets723.0B799.5B782.0B720.1B692.7B657.9B
Total Current Assets78.1B124.7B178.0B144.8B114.3B120.0B
Net Debt(67.9B)(114.5B)(169.3B)(138.6B)(104.5B)(99.3B)
Long Term Debt44.4B44.1B42.5B45.7B52.5B45.7B
Operating Income4.0B(289M)4.3B7.7B6.2B6.1B
Investments(1.4B)7.1B6.7B19.1B(14.7B)(14.0B)

Natwest Group ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Natwest Group's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Natwest Group's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Natwest Group Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Natwest Group PLC's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Natwest Group using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Natwest Group PLC based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Natwest Group PLC is a strong investment it is important to analyze Natwest Group's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Natwest Group's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Natwest Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natwest Group. If investors know Natwest will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natwest Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.429
Dividend Share
0.235
Earnings Share
1.18
Revenue Per Share
3.252
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.074
The market value of Natwest Group PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natwest that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natwest Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natwest Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natwest Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natwest Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natwest Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Natwest Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natwest Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.