Kennametal Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

KMT Stock

USD 28.46 0.23 0.80%

Kennametal's odds of distress is under 9% at this time. It has tiny probability of undergoing some form of financial straits in the near future. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate Kennametal's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Kennametal balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Kennametal Piotroski F Score and Kennametal Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy Kennametal Stock please use our How to Invest in Kennametal guide.

Market Cap is likely to gain to about 2.8 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to gain to about 3.2 B in 2024

Kennametal Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Kennametal's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Kennametal Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 9%

Most of Kennametal's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Kennametal is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Kennametal probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Kennametal odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Kennametal financial health.

Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kennametal. If investors know Kennametal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kennametal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.24)

Dividend Share

0.8

Earnings Share

1.28

Revenue Per Share

25.809

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.02)

The market value of Kennametal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kennametal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kennametal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kennametal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kennametal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kennametal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kennametal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kennametal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kennametal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kennametal Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Kennametal is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Kennametal Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Kennametal's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Kennametal's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Kennametal's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Accounts Payable	Good Will	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Tangible Assets	Total Permanent Equity	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Accumulated Depreciation	Short Long Term Debt	Long Term Investments	Net Invested Capital	Cash And Equivalents	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.95	0.78	0.91	0.84	0.95	0.95	0.28	0.76	0.79	0.72	0.83	0.34	0.48	-0.78	0.15	-0.07	0.84	-0.26	0.17	-0.09	0.08	0.06	0.22	0.22	0.08	0.21
Total Stockholder Equity	0.95		0.69	0.97	0.85	0.8	0.84	0.07	0.72	0.73	0.82	0.73	0.31	0.42	-0.7	0.34	-0.2	0.76	-0.35	0.34	-0.04	0.19	0.22	0.04	-0.01	0.11	0.16
Net Debt	0.78	0.69		0.69	0.72	0.78	0.65	0.03	0.73	0.64	0.59	0.66	0.62	0.44	-0.62	0.04	-0.04	0.89	-0.29	0.11	-0.2	-0.15	0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.0	0.09
Retained Earnings	0.91	0.97	0.69		0.77	0.76	0.78	0.05	0.64	0.72	0.74	0.71	0.3	0.51	-0.68	0.32	-0.16	0.73	-0.33	0.32	-0.1	0.15	0.19	0.07	-0.06	0.09	0.18
Net Receivables	0.84	0.85	0.72	0.77		0.76	0.81	-0.06	0.91	0.76	0.81	0.67	0.41	0.07	-0.59	0.37	-0.3	0.78	-0.51	0.29	0.19	0.12	0.27	-0.19	-0.03	0.38	0.15
Total Liab	0.95	0.8	0.78	0.76	0.76		0.96	0.47	0.73	0.76	0.57	0.85	0.35	0.49	-0.77	-0.04	0.06	0.83	-0.16	-0.01	-0.13	-0.02	-0.1	0.39	0.43	0.05	0.23
Total Current Assets	0.95	0.84	0.65	0.78	0.81	0.96		0.48	0.74	0.76	0.62	0.8	0.27	0.37	-0.72	0.1	-0.04	0.75	-0.24	0.09	0.0	0.1	0.02	0.36	0.45	0.17	0.24
Short Term Debt	0.28	0.07	0.03	0.05	-0.06	0.47	0.48		0.03	0.06	-0.05	0.2	-0.14	0.27	-0.15	-0.22	0.19	0.0	0.29	-0.16	-0.04	0.2	-0.18	0.84	0.95	-0.16	0.17
Intangible Assets	0.76	0.72	0.73	0.64	0.91	0.73	0.74	0.03		0.53	0.78	0.49	0.62	-0.08	-0.37	0.44	-0.53	0.69	-0.64	0.42	0.4	0.27	0.47	-0.16	0.11	0.47	0.36
Accounts Payable	0.79	0.73	0.64	0.72	0.76	0.76	0.76	0.06	0.53		0.41	0.9	0.02	0.47	-0.86	-0.13	0.25	0.71	-0.05	-0.24	-0.26	-0.3	-0.29	0.16	0.0	0.1	0.12
Good Will	0.72	0.82	0.59	0.74	0.81	0.57	0.62	-0.05	0.78	0.41		0.33	0.52	-0.06	-0.32	0.63	-0.52	0.62	-0.62	0.68	0.29	0.52	0.55	-0.34	-0.1	0.15	-0.04
Common Stock	0.83	0.73	0.66	0.71	0.67	0.85	0.8	0.2	0.49	0.9	0.33		-0.01	0.66	-0.97	-0.34	0.38	0.77	0.1	-0.37	-0.36	-0.42	-0.41	0.32	0.14	-0.07	0.1
Long Term Debt	0.34	0.31	0.62	0.3	0.41	0.35	0.27	-0.14	0.62	0.02	0.52	-0.01		-0.15	0.07	0.47	-0.46	0.54	-0.62	0.57	0.17	0.27	0.42	-0.29	-0.07	0.29	0.21
Property Plant Equipment	0.48	0.42	0.44	0.51	0.07	0.49	0.37	0.27	-0.08	0.47	-0.06	0.66	-0.15		-0.71	-0.48	0.6	0.44	0.54	-0.43	-0.7	-0.47	-0.56	0.55	0.08	-0.43	-0.01
Current Deferred Revenue	-0.78	-0.7	-0.62	-0.68	-0.59	-0.77	-0.72	-0.15	-0.37	-0.86	-0.32	-0.97	0.07	-0.71		0.39	-0.47	-0.77	-0.16	0.39	0.5	0.49	0.47	-0.25	-0.03	0.24	0.11
Net Tangible Assets	0.15	0.34	0.04	0.32	0.37	-0.04	0.1	-0.22	0.44	-0.13	0.63	-0.34	0.47	-0.48	0.39		-0.83	-0.02	-0.7	0.91	0.56	0.79	0.86	-0.41	-0.16	0.55	0.19
Total Permanent Equity	-0.07	-0.2	-0.04	-0.16	-0.3	0.06	-0.04	0.19	-0.53	0.25	-0.52	0.38	-0.46	0.6	-0.47	-0.83		0.11	0.79	-0.86	-0.77	-0.77	-0.98	0.43	0.08	-0.49	-0.38
Long Term Debt Total	0.84	0.76	0.89	0.73	0.78	0.83	0.75	0.0	0.69	0.71	0.62	0.77	0.54	0.44	-0.77	-0.02	0.11		-0.26	0.04	-0.26	-0.24	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.09
Capital Surpluse	-0.26	-0.35	-0.29	-0.33	-0.51	-0.16	-0.24	0.29	-0.64	-0.05	-0.62	0.1	-0.62	0.54	-0.16	-0.7	0.79	-0.26		-0.73	-0.55	-0.53	-0.74	0.54	0.2	-0.43	-0.22
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.17	0.34	0.11	0.32	0.29	-0.01	0.09	-0.16	0.42	-0.24	0.68	-0.37	0.57	-0.43	0.39	0.91	-0.86	0.04	-0.73		0.51	0.83	0.9	-0.43	-0.16	0.26	0.11
Accumulated Depreciation	-0.09	-0.04	-0.2	-0.1	0.19	-0.13	0.0	-0.04	0.4	-0.26	0.29	-0.36	0.17	-0.7	0.5	0.56	-0.77	-0.26	-0.55	0.51		0.67	0.72	-0.3	0.13	0.61	0.4
Short Long Term Debt	0.08	0.19	-0.15	0.15	0.12	-0.02	0.1	0.2	0.27	-0.3	0.52	-0.42	0.27	-0.47	0.49	0.79	-0.77	-0.24	-0.53	0.83	0.67		0.78	-0.1	0.22	0.29	0.28
Long Term Investments	0.06	0.22	0.02	0.19	0.27	-0.1	0.02	-0.18	0.47	-0.29	0.55	-0.41	0.42	-0.56	0.47	0.86	-0.98	-0.12	-0.74	0.9	0.72	0.78		-0.44	-0.11	0.4	0.25
Net Invested Capital	0.22	0.04	-0.02	0.07	-0.19	0.39	0.36	0.84	-0.16	0.16	-0.34	0.32	-0.29	0.55	-0.25	-0.41	0.43	-0.07	0.54	-0.43	-0.3	-0.1	-0.44		0.8	-0.08	0.38
Cash And Equivalents	0.22	-0.01	-0.04	-0.06	-0.03	0.43	0.45	0.95	0.11	0.0	-0.1	0.14	-0.07	0.08	-0.03	-0.16	0.08	-0.05	0.2	-0.16	0.13	0.22	-0.11	0.8		0.08	0.32
Net Working Capital	0.08	0.11	0.0	0.09	0.38	0.05	0.17	-0.16	0.47	0.1	0.15	-0.07	0.29	-0.43	0.24	0.55	-0.49	-0.04	-0.43	0.26	0.61	0.29	0.4	-0.08	0.08		0.61
Capital Stock	0.21	0.16	0.09	0.18	0.15	0.23	0.24	0.17	0.36	0.12	-0.04	0.1	0.21	-0.01	0.11	0.19	-0.38	-0.09	-0.22	0.11	0.4	0.28	0.25	0.38	0.32	0.61

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Kennametal

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Kennametal has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 9.0%. This is 78.86% lower than that of the Machinery sector and 69.18% lower than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 77.4% higher than that of the company.

Kennametal Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Kennametal's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Kennametal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kennametal by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Kennametal is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Kennametal Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.001662)	0.0204	0.0562	0.0465	0.0437	0.0373
Net Debt	487.8M	446.4M	530.0M	489.8M	517.8M	403.8M
Total Current Liabilities	898.1M	437.4M	485.6M	434.0M	416.0M	414.2M
Non Current Liabilities Total	870.7M	860.2M	796.6M	799.1M	799.2M	628.1M
Total Assets	3.0B	2.7B	2.6B	2.5B	2.5B	2.1B
Total Current Assets	1.4B	1.0B	1.0B	1.0B	1.0B	890.2M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	223.7M	235.7M	181.4M	257.9M	277.1M	196.7M

Kennametal ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Kennametal's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Kennametal's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Kennametal Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0816
	Return On Asset	0.0428
	Profit Margin	0.05 %
	Operating Margin	0.07 %
	Current Valuation	2.74 B
	Shares Outstanding	77.73 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	1.20 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	98.80 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	6.51 M
	Price To Earning	13.35 X
	Price To Book	1.73 X
	Price To Sales	1.09 X
	Revenue	2.05 B
	Gross Profit	653.48 M
	EBITDA	320.36 M
	Net Income	109.32 M
	Cash And Equivalents	106.02 M
	Cash Per Share	0.79 X
	Total Debt	645.75 M
	Debt To Equity	0.55 %
	Current Ratio	2.03 X
	Book Value Per Share	16.43 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	277.11 M
	Short Ratio	9.60 X
	Earnings Per Share	1.28 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.56 X
	Target Price	27.69
	Number Of Employees	8.4 K
	Beta	1.64
	Market Capitalization	2.21 B
	Total Asset	2.5 B
	Retained Earnings	1.17 B
	Working Capital	586.63 M
	Current Asset	637.38 M
	Current Liabilities	262.1 M
	Annual Yield	0.03 %
	Five Year Return	2.43 %
	Net Asset	2.5 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.8

About Kennametal Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Kennametal's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Kennametal using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kennametal based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Kennametal Stock Analysis

When running Kennametal's price analysis, check to measure Kennametal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kennametal is operating at the current time. Most of Kennametal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kennametal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kennametal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kennametal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Kennametal Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Kennametal Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Kennametal Probability Of Bankruptcy

Kennametal Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Kennametal Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Kennametal Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Kennametal ESG Sustainability

Kennametal Fundamentals

About Kennametal Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Kennametal Stock Analysis

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