West Fraser Timber Stock Price Prediction
| WFG Stock | USD 71.39 0.84 1.19% |
Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.103 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.05) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.87) | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.7555 | Wall Street Target Price 94.5 |
Using West Fraser hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of West Fraser Timber from the perspective of West Fraser response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards West Fraser using West Fraser's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards West using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of West Fraser's stock price.
West Fraser Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in West Fraser's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards West. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of West Fraser stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 82.3575 | Short Percent 0.0092 | Short Ratio 6.41 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 74.5164 |
West Fraser Timber Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to West Fraser's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in West. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding West can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around West Fraser Timber. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of West Fraser's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about West Fraser.
West Fraser Implied Volatility | 0.63 |
West Fraser's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of West Fraser Timber stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if West Fraser's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that West Fraser stock will not fluctuate a lot when West Fraser's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in West Fraser to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying West because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
West Fraser after-hype prediction price | USD 71.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current West contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that West Fraser Timber will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0394% per day over the life of the 2025-09-19 option contract. With West Fraser trading at USD 71.39, that is roughly USD 0.0281 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating West Fraser's daily price movement you should consider acquiring West Fraser Timber options at the current volatility level of 0.63%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out West Fraser Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. West Fraser After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of West Fraser at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in West Fraser or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of West Fraser, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
West Fraser Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting West Fraser's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on West Fraser's historical news coverage. West Fraser's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 69.65 and 73.21, respectively. We have considered West Fraser's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
West Fraser is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of West Fraser Timber is based on 3 months time horizon.
West Fraser Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as West Fraser is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading West Fraser backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with West Fraser, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.78 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
71.39 | 71.43 | 0.06 |
|
West Fraser Hype Timeline
On the 30th of July West Fraser Timber is traded for 71.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. West is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 71.43 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 181.63%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on West Fraser is about 1029.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.40. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.17 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.76 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.62 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out West Fraser Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.West Fraser Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to West Fraser's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict West Fraser's future price movements. Getting to know how West Fraser's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how West Fraser may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UFPI | Ufp Industries | 0.26 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.44 | (2.90) | 9.60 | |
| SSD | Simpson Manufacturing | 2.84 | 9 per month | 1.51 | (0.02) | 2.74 | (2.51) | 8.59 | |
| IFSPF | Interfor | (0.07) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.91 | (3.24) | 12.90 | |
| CFPZF | Canfor | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.72 | (0) | 2.58 | (2.93) | 8.60 | |
| BCC | Boise Cascad Llc | (1.76) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.71 | (3.44) | 9.80 | |
| LPX | Louisiana Pacific | 0.24 | 7 per month | 1.86 | (0.04) | 3.29 | (2.88) | 10.84 | |
| WFG | West Fraser Timber | (0.30) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.72 | (2.32) | 10.84 |
West Fraser Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine West price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for West using various technical indicators. When you analyze West charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About West Fraser Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of West Fraser stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as West Fraser Timber, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of West Fraser based on analysis of West Fraser hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to West Fraser's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to West Fraser's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0146 | 0.0141 | 0.0144 | 0.0114 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.13 | 0.74 |
Story Coverage note for West Fraser
The number of cover stories for West Fraser depends on current market conditions and West Fraser's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that West Fraser is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about West Fraser's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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West Fraser Short Properties
West Fraser's future price predictability will typically decrease when West Fraser's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of West Fraser Timber often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential West Fraser's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. West Fraser's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 641 M |
Complementary Tools for West Stock analysis
When running West Fraser's price analysis, check to measure West Fraser's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy West Fraser is operating at the current time. Most of West Fraser's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of West Fraser's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move West Fraser's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of West Fraser to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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