Village Bank and Price Prediction

VBFCDelisted Stock  USD 80.21  0.14  0.17%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Village Bank's share price is above 70 at the present time. This entails that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Village, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 73

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Village Bank's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Village Bank and, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Village Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Village Bank and from the perspective of Village Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Village Bank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Village because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Village Bank after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 80.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.3767.6788.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
80.2180.5180.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
80.0480.1680.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Village Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Village Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Village Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Village Bank.

Village Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Village Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Village Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Village Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Village Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Village Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Village Bank's historical news coverage. Village Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 79.91 and 80.51, respectively. We have considered Village Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.

Current Value

80.21
80.21
After-hype Price
80.51
Upside
Village Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Village Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.

Village Bank Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Village Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Village Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Village Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
0.30
 0.00  
  0.01 
4 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
80.21
80.21
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Village Bank Hype Timeline

Village Bank is at this time traded for 80.21. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Village is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Village Bank is about 300.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 80.22. About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.63. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Village Bank last dividend was issued on the 28th of December 2021. The entity had 1:16 split on the 23rd of January 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Village Bank Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Village Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Village Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Village Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Village Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PMHGPrime Meridian Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.15  2.55 (1.88) 69.53 
WMPNWilliam Penn Bancorp 0.26 5 per month 0.00  0.04  3.33 (3.75) 11.57 
PBHCPathfinder Bancorp 0.16 8 per month 0.00  0  2.77 (3.18) 11.64 
HVBCHV Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HMNFHMN Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MGYRMagyar Bancorp 0.05 8 per month 0.00  0.09  2.25 (2.41) 6.68 
CULLCullman Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 6 per month 1.95  0.13  3.78 (3.95) 13.32 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares 0.85 11 per month 0.00  0.02  3.15 (2.17) 11.21 
NWYFNorthway Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest(0.1)8 per month 0.72  0.12  1.06 (1.56) 16.42 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp 0.10 8 per month 1.84  0.07  3.92 (3.24) 10.72 
FCAPFirst Capital 0.08 8 per month 0.70  0.40  4.03 (1.00) 9.70 

Village Bank Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Village price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Village using various technical indicators. When you analyze Village charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Village Bank Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Village Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Village Bank and, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Village Bank based on analysis of Village Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Village Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Village Bank's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Village Bank

The number of cover stories for Village Bank depends on current market conditions and Village Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Village Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Village Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Village Bank Short Properties

Village Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Village Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Village Bank and often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Village Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Village Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments75.4 M
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.

Other Consideration for investing in Village Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Village Bank check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Village Bank's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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