Smithfield Foods, Common Stock Price Prediction
| SFD Stock | 24.52 0.65 2.58% |
Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.726 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.039 |
Using Smithfield Foods, hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Smithfield Foods, Common from the perspective of Smithfield Foods, response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Smithfield Foods, using Smithfield Foods,'s stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Smithfield using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Smithfield Foods,'s stock price.
Smithfield Foods, Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Smithfield Foods,'s short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Smithfield. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Smithfield Foods, stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 21.1579 | Short Ratio 0.61 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.4 M | Shares Short 1.8 M |
Smithfield Foods, Common Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Smithfield Foods,'s public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Smithfield. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Smithfield can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Smithfield Foods, Common. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Smithfield Foods,'s market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Smithfield Foods,.
Smithfield Foods, Implied Volatility | 0.84 |
Smithfield Foods,'s implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Smithfield Foods, Common stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Smithfield Foods,'s implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Smithfield Foods, stock will not fluctuate a lot when Smithfield Foods,'s options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Smithfield Foods, to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Smithfield because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Smithfield Foods, after-hype prediction price | USD 24.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Smithfield contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Smithfield Foods, Common will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0525% per day over the life of the 2025-09-19 option contract. With Smithfield Foods, trading at USD 24.52, that is roughly USD 0.0129 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Smithfield Foods,'s daily price movement you should consider acquiring Smithfield Foods, Common options at the current volatility level of 0.84%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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Smithfield Foods, After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Smithfield Foods, at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Smithfield Foods, or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Smithfield Foods,, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Smithfield Foods, Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Smithfield Foods,'s stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Smithfield Foods,'s historical news coverage. Smithfield Foods,'s after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.22 and 25.82, respectively. We have considered Smithfield Foods,'s daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Smithfield Foods, is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Smithfield Foods, Common is based on 3 months time horizon.
Smithfield Foods, Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Smithfield Foods, is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Smithfield Foods, backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Smithfield Foods,, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.23 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 12 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.52 | 24.52 | 0.00 |
|
Smithfield Foods, Hype Timeline
On the 13th of August 2025 Smithfield Foods, Common is traded for 24.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Smithfield is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Smithfield Foods, is about 997.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.51. About 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.49. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Smithfield Foods, Common has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.21. The entity last dividend was issued on the October 30, 1996. The firm had 2:1 split on the September 17, 2001. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Smithfield Foods, Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Smithfield Foods, Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Smithfield Foods,'s direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Smithfield Foods,'s future price movements. Getting to know how Smithfield Foods,'s peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Smithfield Foods, may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TSHO | Tradeshow Marketing | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FIZZ | National Beverage Corp | (0.27) | 7 per month | 1.27 | (0.01) | 2.65 | (2.12) | 6.87 | |
| ASO | Academy Sports Outdoors | (0.80) | 9 per month | 2.05 | 0.1 | 5.24 | (3.66) | 23.42 | |
| CDR-PB | Cedar Realty Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.36 | 0.01 | 3.40 | (3.60) | 10.04 | |
| GTY | Getty Realty | 0.33 | 7 per month | 1.08 | (0.08) | 2.03 | (1.62) | 5.42 | |
| TSRYF | Treasury Wine Estates | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.00 | (0.20) | 13.23 |
Smithfield Foods, Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Smithfield price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Smithfield using various technical indicators. When you analyze Smithfield charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Smithfield Foods, Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Smithfield Foods, stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Smithfield Foods, Common, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Smithfield Foods, based on analysis of Smithfield Foods, hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Smithfield Foods,'s market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Smithfield Foods,'s related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 1.4E-5 | 1.3E-5 | Dividend Yield | 3.6K | 3.8K |
Story Coverage note for Smithfield Foods,
The number of cover stories for Smithfield Foods, depends on current market conditions and Smithfield Foods,'s risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Smithfield Foods, is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Smithfield Foods,'s long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Smithfield Foods, Short Properties
Smithfield Foods,'s future price predictability will typically decrease when Smithfield Foods,'s long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Smithfield Foods, Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Smithfield Foods,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smithfield Foods,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 393.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 943 M |
Complementary Tools for Smithfield Stock analysis
When running Smithfield Foods,'s price analysis, check to measure Smithfield Foods,'s market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smithfield Foods, is operating at the current time. Most of Smithfield Foods,'s value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smithfield Foods,'s future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smithfield Foods,'s price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smithfield Foods, to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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