Science Applications International Stock Price Prediction
| SAIC Stock | USD 111.14 0.52 0.47% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
24
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.65) | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.94 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.15 | Wall Street Target Price 137.1111 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.1576 |
Using Science Applications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Science Applications International from the perspective of Science Applications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Science Applications Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Science Applications' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Science. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Science can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Science Applications International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Science Applications' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Science Applications.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Science Applications to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Science because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Science Applications after-hype prediction price | USD 111.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Science |
Science Applications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Science Applications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Science Applications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Science Applications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Science Applications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Science Applications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Science Applications' historical news coverage. Science Applications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 109.05 and 113.59, respectively. We have considered Science Applications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Science Applications is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Science Applications is based on 3 months time horizon.
Science Applications Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Science Applications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Science Applications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Science Applications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 2.27 | 0.01 | 0.25 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
111.14 | 111.32 | 0.01 |
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Science Applications Hype Timeline
Science Applications is at this time traded for 111.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.25. Science is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 111.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Science Applications is about 288.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 110.89. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.44 B. Net Income was 477 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 859 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Science Applications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Science Applications Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Science Applications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Science Applications' future price movements. Getting to know how Science Applications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Science Applications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| III | Information Services Group | (0.03) | 10 per month | 1.47 | 0.05 | 3.01 | (2.57) | 10.82 | |
| HBCP | Home Bancorp | (0.38) | 8 per month | 1.90 | 0.05 | 3.35 | (2.15) | 14.40 | |
| HFWA | Heritage Financial | 0.18 | 10 per month | 1.88 | 0.07 | 2.80 | (4.47) | 21.63 | |
| CRAI | CRA International | (2.92) | 9 per month | 2.76 | 0.07 | 2.86 | (4.65) | 16.32 |
Science Applications Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Science price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Science using various technical indicators. When you analyze Science charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Science Applications Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Science Applications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Science Applications International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Science Applications based on analysis of Science Applications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Science Applications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Science Applications's related companies. | 2010 | 2019 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0181 | 0.0115 | 0.017 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.63 | 0.92 | 0.8 |
Story Coverage note for Science Applications
The number of cover stories for Science Applications depends on current market conditions and Science Applications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Science Applications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Science Applications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Science Applications Short Properties
Science Applications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Science Applications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Science Applications International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Science Applications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Science Applications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 94 M |
Complementary Tools for Science Stock analysis
When running Science Applications' price analysis, check to measure Science Applications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Science Applications is operating at the current time. Most of Science Applications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Science Applications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Science Applications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Science Applications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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