Phillips 66 Stock Price Prediction
| PSX Stock | USD 133.35 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.71 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.7442 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.7789 | Wall Street Target Price 141.9511 |
Using Phillips hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Phillips 66 from the perspective of Phillips response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Phillips 66 Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Phillips' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Phillips. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Phillips can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Phillips 66. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Phillips' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Phillips.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Phillips to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Phillips because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Phillips after-hype prediction price | USD 133.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Phillips |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Phillips' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Phillips After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Phillips at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Phillips or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Phillips, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Phillips Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Phillips' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Phillips' historical news coverage. Phillips' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 131.75 and 134.97, respectively. We have considered Phillips' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Phillips is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Phillips 66 is based on 3 months time horizon.
Phillips Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Phillips is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Phillips backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Phillips, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.58 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
133.35 | 133.36 | 0.01 |
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Phillips Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November Phillips 66 is traded for 133.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Phillips is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 133.36 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 159.6%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Phillips is about 5469.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 133.35. The company reported the last year's revenue of 147.4 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 7.01 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 20.06 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Phillips Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Phillips Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Phillips' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Phillips' future price movements. Getting to know how Phillips' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Phillips may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum Corp | (1.19) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.19 | (3.01) | 13.39 | |
| DINO | HF Sinclair Corp | 0.21 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.75 | (4.36) | 11.79 | |
| PBF | PBF Energy | 0.63 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.52 | (3.76) | 15.94 | |
| SUN | Sunoco LP | (0.66) | 9 per month | 1.08 | (0.07) | 2.68 | (1.93) | 5.70 | |
| VLO | Valero Energy | 0.02 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.87 | (3.31) | 11.46 | |
| CVI | CVR Energy | 0.08 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.99 | (5.81) | 28.93 | |
| DK | Delek Energy | 0.30 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.44 | (3.90) | 16.10 | |
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | 0.68 | 10 per month | 2.29 | (0.01) | 2.84 | (1.44) | 16.59 | |
| CAPL | Crossamerica Partners LP | (0.33) | 9 per month | 1.19 | (0.06) | 2.88 | (2.23) | 6.12 |
Phillips Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Phillips price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Phillips using various technical indicators. When you analyze Phillips charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Phillips Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Phillips stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Phillips 66, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Phillips based on analysis of Phillips hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Phillips's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Phillips's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0497 | 0.0314 | 0.0246 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.29 | 0.41 | 0.26 |
Story Coverage note for Phillips
The number of cover stories for Phillips depends on current market conditions and Phillips' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Phillips is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Phillips' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Phillips Short Properties
Phillips' future price predictability will typically decrease when Phillips' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Phillips 66 often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Phillips' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phillips' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 453.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 B |
Additional Tools for Phillips Stock Analysis
When running Phillips' price analysis, check to measure Phillips' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Phillips is operating at the current time. Most of Phillips' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Phillips' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Phillips' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Phillips to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.