Mnchener Rckversicherungs Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft Stock Price Prediction
| MURGF Stock | USD 659.35 19.25 2.84% |
Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mnchener Rckversicherungs hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mnchener Rckversicherungs Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft from the perspective of Mnchener Rckversicherungs response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mnchener Rckversicherungs to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mnchener because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mnchener Rckversicherungs after-hype prediction price | USD 678.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mnchener |
Mnchener Rckversicherungs After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mnchener Rckversicherungs at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mnchener Rckversicherungs or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Mnchener Rckversicherungs, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mnchener Rckversicherungs Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mnchener Rckversicherungs' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mnchener Rckversicherungs' historical news coverage. Mnchener Rckversicherungs' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 676.26 and 680.94, respectively. We have considered Mnchener Rckversicherungs' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mnchener Rckversicherungs is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mnchener Rckversicherungs is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mnchener Rckversicherungs Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mnchener Rckversicherungs is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mnchener Rckversicherungs backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mnchener Rckversicherungs, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 2.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
659.35 | 678.60 | 0.00 |
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Mnchener Rckversicherungs Hype Timeline
Mnchener Rckversicherungs is now traded for 659.35. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mnchener is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mnchener Rckversicherungs is about 3760.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 659.35. About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.99. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mnchener Rckversicherungs has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.19. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 21.3. The firm last dividend was issued on the 29th of April 2022. Mnchener Rckversicherungs had 506:481 split on the 17th of November 2003. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Mnchener Rckversicherungs Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mnchener Rckversicherungs Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mnchener Rckversicherungs' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mnchener Rckversicherungs' future price movements. Getting to know how Mnchener Rckversicherungs' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mnchener Rckversicherungs may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RGA | Reinsurance Group of | 0.22 | 12 per month | 1.33 | (0.08) | 2.07 | (1.97) | 8.14 | |
| RNR | Renaissancere Holdings | 0.21 | 8 per month | 1.30 | (0.07) | 2.27 | (1.95) | 5.93 | |
| MURGY | Muenchener Rueckver Ges | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.65 | (0.08) | 2.12 | (2.28) | 8.47 | |
| ALIZF | Allianz SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.24 | (3.30) | 9.70 | |
| ZFSVF | Zurich Insurance Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.84 | (0.03) | 3.58 | (3.01) | 10.28 | |
| AXAHF | AXA SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.58 | (0.02) | 2.65 | (3.13) | 10.96 | |
| DBOEF | Deutsche Brse AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.46 | (3.73) | 11.45 |
Mnchener Rckversicherungs Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mnchener price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mnchener using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mnchener charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Mnchener Rckversicherungs Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mnchener Rckversicherungs stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mnchener Rckversicherungs Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mnchener Rckversicherungs based on analysis of Mnchener Rckversicherungs hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mnchener Rckversicherungs's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mnchener Rckversicherungs's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Mnchener Rckversicherungs
The number of cover stories for Mnchener Rckversicherungs depends on current market conditions and Mnchener Rckversicherungs' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mnchener Rckversicherungs is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mnchener Rckversicherungs' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mnchener Rckversicherungs Short Properties
Mnchener Rckversicherungs' future price predictability will typically decrease when Mnchener Rckversicherungs' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mnchener Rckversicherungs Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mnchener Rckversicherungs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mnchener Rckversicherungs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 140.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 171.2 B |
Complementary Tools for Mnchener Pink Sheet analysis
When running Mnchener Rckversicherungs' price analysis, check to measure Mnchener Rckversicherungs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mnchener Rckversicherungs is operating at the current time. Most of Mnchener Rckversicherungs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mnchener Rckversicherungs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mnchener Rckversicherungs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mnchener Rckversicherungs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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