Mogo Inc Stock Price Prediction
| MOGO Stock | USD 1.75 0.03 1.69% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.234 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.07) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.35) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.30) | Wall Street Target Price 3.9985 |
Using Mogo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mogo Inc from the perspective of Mogo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Mogo using Mogo's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Mogo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Mogo's stock price.
Mogo Short Interest
An investor who is long Mogo may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Mogo and may potentially protect profits, hedge Mogo with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 1.2881 | Short Percent 0.0432 | Short Ratio 0.07 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.5 M | 50 Day MA 1.6162 |
Mogo Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Mogo's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Mogo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Mogo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Mogo Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Mogo's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Mogo.
Mogo Implied Volatility | 2.37 |
Mogo's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Mogo Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Mogo's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Mogo stock will not fluctuate a lot when Mogo's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mogo to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mogo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mogo after-hype prediction price | USD 1.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Mogo contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Mogo Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.15% per day over the life of the 2025-10-17 option contract. With Mogo trading at USD 1.75, that is roughly USD 0.002592 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Mogo's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Mogo Inc options at the current volatility level of 2.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Mogo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Mogo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mogo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mogo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mogo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mogo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mogo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mogo's historical news coverage. Mogo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 16.61, respectively. We have considered Mogo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mogo is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mogo Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mogo Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mogo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mogo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mogo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.19 | 14.93 | 0.10 | 0.09 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.75 | 1.66 | 5.14 |
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Mogo Hype Timeline
Mogo Inc is now traded for 1.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Mogo is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.66. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -5.14%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.19%. The volatility of related hype on Mogo is about 19264.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.66. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.7. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mogo Inc last dividend was issued on the 5th of April 2019. The entity had 1:3 split on the 14th of August 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Mogo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mogo Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mogo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mogo's future price movements. Getting to know how Mogo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mogo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KPLT | Katapult Holdings | (0.06) | 9 per month | 3.33 | 0.15 | 13.33 | (6.74) | 29.23 | |
| NN | Nextnav Acquisition Corp | (0.34) | 9 per month | 3.20 | 0.03 | 4.25 | (4.80) | 22.80 | |
| OSPN | OneSpan | (0.12) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.77 | (3.19) | 14.36 | |
| EBON | Ebang International Holdings | (0.08) | 3 per month | 3.53 | 0.02 | 8.22 | (6.82) | 45.90 | |
| BTBT | Bit Digital | (0.05) | 11 per month | 5.34 | 0.1 | 14.71 | (8.99) | 33.70 | |
| FTFT | Future Fintech Group | 0.19 | 9 per month | 7.90 | 0.06 | 7.92 | (13.43) | 194.94 | |
| MOGO | Mogo Inc | (0.10) | 6 per month | 4.18 | 0.10 | 7.36 | (9.03) | 114.12 | |
| CAN | Canaan Inc | (0.06) | 11 per month | 5.57 | 0.03 | 10.67 | (10.00) | 45.68 |
Mogo Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mogo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mogo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mogo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Mogo Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mogo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mogo Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mogo based on analysis of Mogo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mogo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mogo's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.008955 | 0.00796 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.64 | 0.61 |
Story Coverage note for Mogo
The number of cover stories for Mogo depends on current market conditions and Mogo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mogo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mogo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mogo Short Properties
Mogo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mogo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mogo Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mogo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mogo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34.6 M |
Check out Mogo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mogo. If investors know Mogo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mogo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.234 | Earnings Share 0.12 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Mogo Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mogo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mogo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mogo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mogo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mogo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mogo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mogo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mogo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.