Manulife Financial Corp Stock Price Prediction
| MFC Stock | USD 30.82 0.09 0.29% |
Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.45) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9852 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.075 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.3883 | Wall Street Target Price 28.167 |
Using Manulife Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Manulife Financial Corp from the perspective of Manulife Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Manulife Financial using Manulife Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Manulife using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Manulife Financial's stock price.
Manulife Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Manulife Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Manulife. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Manulife Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 30.6571 | Short Percent 0.0052 | Short Ratio 2.6 | Shares Short Prior Month 59.4 M | 50 Day MA 31.462 |
Manulife Financial Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Manulife Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Manulife. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Manulife can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Manulife Financial Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Manulife Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Manulife Financial.
Manulife Financial Implied Volatility | 0.37 |
Manulife Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Manulife Financial Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Manulife Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Manulife Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Manulife Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Manulife Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Manulife because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Manulife Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 30.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Manulife contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Manulife Financial Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0231% per day over the life of the 2025-09-19 option contract. With Manulife Financial trading at USD 30.82, that is roughly USD 0.007127 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Manulife Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Manulife Financial Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Manulife Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Manulife Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Manulife Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Manulife Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Manulife Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Manulife Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Manulife Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Manulife Financial's historical news coverage. Manulife Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.42 and 31.98, respectively. We have considered Manulife Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Manulife Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Manulife Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Manulife Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Manulife Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Manulife Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Manulife Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.28 | 0.12 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.82 | 30.70 | 0.39 |
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Manulife Financial Hype Timeline
On the 19th of July Manulife Financial Corp is traded for 30.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Manulife is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 30.7. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 175.34%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.39%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Manulife Financial is about 2898.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.81. About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.57. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Manulife Financial Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.07. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of May 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 5th of June 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Manulife Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Manulife Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Manulife Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Manulife Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Manulife Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Manulife Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRU | Prudential Financial | (1.38) | 10 per month | 1.35 | (0.06) | 2.40 | (2.40) | 7.48 | |
| MET | MetLife | (1.70) | 10 per month | 1.18 | (0.03) | 2.36 | (2.08) | 6.85 | |
| UNM | Unum Group | (0.79) | 10 per month | 1.37 | (0.03) | 2.14 | (2.09) | 7.21 | |
| JXN | Jackson Financial | 1.40 | 10 per month | 1.58 | 0.09 | 3.18 | (3.41) | 9.16 | |
| LNC | Lincoln National | 0.25 | 9 per month | 1.39 | 0.06 | 3.57 | (2.83) | 8.86 | |
| AFL | Aflac Incorporated | 0.94 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.57 | (2.00) | 7.94 | |
| BHF | Brighthouse Financial | 1.00 | 12 per month | 2.66 | (0.04) | 4.10 | (4.61) | 14.77 | |
| FG | FG Annuities Life | (0.25) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.09 | (4.17) | 16.98 | |
| MET-PA | MetLife Preferred Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | (0.04) | 1.17 | (0.98) | 3.48 | |
| BHFAP | Brighthouse Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.12 | (3.46) | 9.87 | |
| AEL | American Equity Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MET-PE | MetLife Preferred Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.38 | (0.13) | 0.78 | (0.63) | 2.41 |
Manulife Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Manulife price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Manulife using various technical indicators. When you analyze Manulife charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Manulife Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Manulife Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Manulife Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Manulife Financial based on analysis of Manulife Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Manulife Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Manulife Financial's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0553 | 0.0402 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.1 | 1.47 |
Story Coverage note for Manulife Financial
The number of cover stories for Manulife Financial depends on current market conditions and Manulife Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Manulife Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Manulife Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Manulife Financial Short Properties
Manulife Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Manulife Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Manulife Financial Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Manulife Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Manulife Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25.8 B |
Complementary Tools for Manulife Stock analysis
When running Manulife Financial's price analysis, check to measure Manulife Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Manulife Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Manulife Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Manulife Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Manulife Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Manulife Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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