Lyondellbasell Industries Nv Stock Price Prediction
| LYB Stock | USD 85.37 1.18 1.40% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
30
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.66 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.12 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.74 | Wall Street Target Price 100.96 |
Using LyondellBasell Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LyondellBasell Industries NV from the perspective of LyondellBasell Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
LyondellBasell Industries Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to LyondellBasell Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in LyondellBasell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding LyondellBasell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around LyondellBasell Industries NV. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of LyondellBasell Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about LyondellBasell Industries.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LyondellBasell Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LyondellBasell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
LyondellBasell Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 85.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LyondellBasell |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LyondellBasell Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LyondellBasell Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LyondellBasell Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LyondellBasell Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LyondellBasell Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LyondellBasell Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LyondellBasell Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LyondellBasell Industries' historical news coverage. LyondellBasell Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 84.15 and 86.35, respectively. We have considered LyondellBasell Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LyondellBasell Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LyondellBasell Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
LyondellBasell Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LyondellBasell Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LyondellBasell Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LyondellBasell Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.10 | 0.12 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
85.37 | 85.25 | 0.14 |
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LyondellBasell Industries Hype Timeline
On the 6th of November LyondellBasell Industries is traded for 85.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. LyondellBasell is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 85.25. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 150.68%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on LyondellBasell Industries is about 1617.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 85.38. About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.99. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. LyondellBasell Industries has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.7. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.68. The firm last dividend was issued on the 26th of August 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out LyondellBasell Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.LyondellBasell Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LyondellBasell Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LyondellBasell Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how LyondellBasell Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LyondellBasell Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MTX | Minerals Technologies | 0.61 | 8 per month | 1.23 | 0.01 | 2.46 | (1.93) | 6.73 | |
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.53) | 0.24 | (0.24) | 0.96 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | (0.07) | 1.21 | (1.02) | 3.14 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.09 | 0.03 | 2.28 | (1.20) | 7.43 | |
| RRTLX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.29 | (0.29) | 0.66 | (0.56) | 1.39 | |
| OSHDF | Oshidori International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 70082LAB3 | US70082LAB36 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.94 | (0.03) | 1.66 | (1.02) | 24.27 | |
| SITKF | Sitka Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.56 | 0.17 | 16.13 | (8.11) | 32.64 | |
| RWAYL | MSCI ACWI exAUCONSUMER | 0.07 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.52) | 0.28 | (0.32) | 1.06 |
LyondellBasell Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LyondellBasell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LyondellBasell using various technical indicators. When you analyze LyondellBasell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About LyondellBasell Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of LyondellBasell Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LyondellBasell Industries NV, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LyondellBasell Industries based on analysis of LyondellBasell Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LyondellBasell Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LyondellBasell Industries's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0482 | 0.12 | 0.0521 | 0.0629 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.67 | 0.54 | 0.75 | 0.62 |
Story Coverage note for LyondellBasell Industries
The number of cover stories for LyondellBasell Industries depends on current market conditions and LyondellBasell Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LyondellBasell Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LyondellBasell Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LyondellBasell Industries Short Properties
LyondellBasell Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when LyondellBasell Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LyondellBasell Industries NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LyondellBasell Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LyondellBasell Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 326 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.4 B |
Complementary Tools for LyondellBasell Stock analysis
When running LyondellBasell Industries' price analysis, check to measure LyondellBasell Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LyondellBasell Industries is operating at the current time. Most of LyondellBasell Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LyondellBasell Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LyondellBasell Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LyondellBasell Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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