Lenz Therapeutics Stock Price Prediction
| LENZ Stock | 27.99 1.67 6.34% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.49) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.81) | EPS Estimate Next Year (2.57) | Wall Street Target Price 33.8 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.48) |
Using LENZ Therapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LENZ Therapeutics from the perspective of LENZ Therapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LENZ Therapeutics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LENZ because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
LENZ Therapeutics after-hype prediction price | USD 27.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LENZ |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LENZ Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LENZ Therapeutics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LENZ Therapeutics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LENZ Therapeutics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LENZ Therapeutics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LENZ Therapeutics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LENZ Therapeutics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LENZ Therapeutics' historical news coverage. LENZ Therapeutics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.86 and 31.86, respectively. We have considered LENZ Therapeutics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LENZ Therapeutics is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LENZ Therapeutics is based on 3 months time horizon.
LENZ Therapeutics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LENZ Therapeutics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LENZ Therapeutics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LENZ Therapeutics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 4.01 | 0.11 | 0.30 | 6 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.99 | 27.86 | 0.46 |
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LENZ Therapeutics Hype Timeline
LENZ Therapeutics is now traded for 27.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.3. LENZ is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.86. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.46%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on LENZ Therapeutics is about 531.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.29. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of LENZ Therapeutics was now reported as 7.46. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.74. LENZ Therapeutics last dividend was issued on the 21st of March 2024. The entity had 1:7 split on the 22nd of March 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out LENZ Therapeutics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.LENZ Therapeutics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LENZ Therapeutics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LENZ Therapeutics' future price movements. Getting to know how LENZ Therapeutics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LENZ Therapeutics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LPCN | Lipocine | 0.11 | 5 per month | 4.40 | (0.02) | 6.42 | (7.18) | 24.93 | |
| ARDX | Ardelyx | (0.11) | 8 per month | 3.38 | 0.02 | 4.78 | (5.02) | 20.12 | |
| HMY | Harmony Gold Mining | (0.12) | 8 per month | 3.10 | 0.06 | 7.09 | (5.77) | 14.34 | |
| PH | Parker Hannifin | 5.15 | 11 per month | 1.46 | 0.08 | 2.31 | (3.00) | 14.99 | |
| MRVI | Maravai Lifesciences Holdings | (0.31) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.62 | (4.52) | 27.76 | |
| AMKR | Amkor Technology | (0.19) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.66 | (5.17) | 22.43 |
LENZ Therapeutics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LENZ price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LENZ using various technical indicators. When you analyze LENZ charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About LENZ Therapeutics Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of LENZ Therapeutics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LENZ Therapeutics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LENZ Therapeutics based on analysis of LENZ Therapeutics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LENZ Therapeutics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LENZ Therapeutics's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Interest Debt Per Share | 0.035 | 0.0332 | Revenue Per Share | 0.57 | 0.51 |
Story Coverage note for LENZ Therapeutics
The number of cover stories for LENZ Therapeutics depends on current market conditions and LENZ Therapeutics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LENZ Therapeutics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LENZ Therapeutics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LENZ Therapeutics Short Properties
LENZ Therapeutics' future price predictability will typically decrease when LENZ Therapeutics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LENZ Therapeutics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LENZ Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LENZ Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 185.9 M |
Additional Tools for LENZ Stock Analysis
When running LENZ Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure LENZ Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LENZ Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of LENZ Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LENZ Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LENZ Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LENZ Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.