Flux Power Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| FLUX Stock | USD 1.60 0.10 5.88% |
Momentum 32
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.35) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.04) | Wall Street Target Price 5.6667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.12) |
Using Flux Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Flux Power Holdings from the perspective of Flux Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Flux Power using Flux Power's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Flux using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Flux Power's stock price.
Flux Power Short Interest
An investor who is long Flux Power may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Flux Power and may potentially protect profits, hedge Flux Power with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 2.1824 | Short Percent 0.0446 | Short Ratio 0.61 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 3.6212 |
Flux Power Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Flux Power's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Flux. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Flux can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Flux Power Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Flux Power's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Flux Power.
Flux Power Implied Volatility | 2.75 |
Flux Power's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Flux Power Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Flux Power's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Flux Power stock will not fluctuate a lot when Flux Power's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Flux Power to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Flux because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Flux Power after-hype prediction price | USD 1.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Flux Power Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flux Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Flux Power After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Flux Power at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Flux Power or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Flux Power, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Flux Power Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Flux Power's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Flux Power's historical news coverage. Flux Power's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 14.53, respectively. We have considered Flux Power's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Flux Power is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Flux Power Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Flux Power Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Flux Power is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Flux Power backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Flux Power, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.00 | 12.79 | 0.05 | 0.55 | 10 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.60 | 1.74 | 2.35 |
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Flux Power Hype Timeline
Flux Power Holdings is currently traded for 1.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.55. Flux is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.74 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 2.35%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.0%. The volatility of related hype on Flux Power is about 2336.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.15. Flux Power Holdings currently holds 16.06 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.56, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Flux Power Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Flux Power Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Flux Power's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Flux Power's future price movements. Getting to know how Flux Power's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Flux Power may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EBODF | Renewable Energy Trade | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| XIAXF | Xiabuxiabu Catering Management | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PFSMF | Perfect Medical Health | 4.34 | 26 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CIWT | China Industrial Waste | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IPM | Intelligent Protection Management | 0.04 | 8 per month | 2.84 | (0.01) | 3.50 | (4.98) | 32.63 | |
| FRCOF | Fast Retailing Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.14 | 0.04 | 5.03 | (4.86) | 19.25 | |
| SMSMY | Sims Metal Management | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.34 | 0.08 | 4.87 | (5.23) | 17.13 | |
| HTOCF | H2O Retailing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.52 |
Flux Power Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Flux price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Flux using various technical indicators. When you analyze Flux charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Flux Power Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Flux Power stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Flux Power Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Flux Power based on analysis of Flux Power hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Flux Power's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Flux Power's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 5.06 | 3.83 | 2.74 | 1.77 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 140.82 | 142.15 | 140.72 | 28.68 |
Story Coverage note for Flux Power
The number of cover stories for Flux Power depends on current market conditions and Flux Power's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Flux Power is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Flux Power's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Flux Power Short Properties
Flux Power's future price predictability will typically decrease when Flux Power's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Flux Power Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Flux Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flux Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 M |
Additional Tools for Flux Stock Analysis
When running Flux Power's price analysis, check to measure Flux Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flux Power is operating at the current time. Most of Flux Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flux Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flux Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flux Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.