Pc Connection Stock Price Prediction
| CNXN Stock | USD 73.17 2.26 3.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
63
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.32 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.02 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.55 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.9 | Wall Street Target Price 76 |
Using PC Connection hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PC Connection from the perspective of PC Connection response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PC Connection to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CNXN because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PC Connection after-hype prediction price | USD 73.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CNXN |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PC Connection's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PC Connection After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PC Connection at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PC Connection or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PC Connection, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PC Connection Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PC Connection's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PC Connection's historical news coverage. PC Connection's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 71.04 and 75.02, respectively. We have considered PC Connection's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PC Connection is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PC Connection is based on 3 months time horizon.
PC Connection Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PC Connection is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PC Connection backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PC Connection, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.99 | 0.14 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
73.17 | 73.03 | 0.19 |
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PC Connection Hype Timeline
PC Connection is currently traded for 73.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. CNXN is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 73.03. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on PC Connection is about 1301.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 73.21. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of PC Connection was currently reported as 33.23. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.84. PC Connection last dividend was issued on the 13th of August 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 24th of May 2000. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out PC Connection Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PC Connection Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PC Connection's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PC Connection's future price movements. Getting to know how PC Connection's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PC Connection may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SCSC | ScanSource | 3.83 | 10 per month | 2.21 | (0) | 3.34 | (3.60) | 12.91 | |
| NSIT | Insight Enterprises | (1.19) | 9 per month | 3.35 | 0 | 3.15 | (2.67) | 16.36 | |
| SNPO | Snap One Holdings | 0.00 | 10 per month | 1.54 | 0.11 | 3.77 | (3.63) | 29.77 | |
| AVT | Avnet Inc | (0.65) | 10 per month | 1.53 | (0.02) | 2.50 | (2.13) | 12.33 | |
| SNX | Synnex | (0.09) | 10 per month | 1.53 | (0.05) | 2.43 | (2.98) | 7.67 | |
| ARW | Arrow Electronics | (0.09) | 9 per month | 1.27 | 0.02 | 3.33 | (1.98) | 8.84 | |
| CLMB | Climb Global Solutions | (0.74) | 11 per month | 2.48 | 0.17 | 6.60 | (4.59) | 17.77 |
PC Connection Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CNXN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNXN using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNXN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About PC Connection Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PC Connection stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PC Connection, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PC Connection based on analysis of PC Connection hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PC Connection's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PC Connection's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0306 | 0.00476 | 0.004522 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.39 | 0.62 | 0.65 |
Story Coverage note for PC Connection
The number of cover stories for PC Connection depends on current market conditions and PC Connection's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PC Connection is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PC Connection's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PC Connection Short Properties
PC Connection's future price predictability will typically decrease when PC Connection's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PC Connection often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PC Connection's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PC Connection's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 297.2 M |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in CNXN Stock
When determining whether PC Connection offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of PC Connection's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Pc Connection Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Pc Connection Stock:Check out PC Connection Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in CNXN Stock, please use our How to Invest in PC Connection guide.You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PC Connection. If investors know CNXN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PC Connection listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.32 | Dividend Share 0.36 | Earnings Share 3.35 | Revenue Per Share 104.793 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 |
The market value of PC Connection is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CNXN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PC Connection's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PC Connection's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PC Connection's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PC Connection's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PC Connection's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PC Connection is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PC Connection's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.