Civista Bancshares Stock Price Prediction
| CIVB Stock | USD 20.18 0.01 0.05% |
Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.581 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.735 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.704 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.855 | Wall Street Target Price 25.6 |
Using Civista Bancshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Civista Bancshares from the perspective of Civista Bancshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Civista Bancshares using Civista Bancshares' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Civista using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Civista Bancshares' stock price.
Civista Bancshares Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Civista Bancshares' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Civista. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Civista Bancshares stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 21.2037 | Short Percent 0.0047 | Short Ratio 0.83 | Shares Short Prior Month 234.8 K | 50 Day MA 22.5208 |
Civista Bancshares Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Civista Bancshares' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Civista. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Civista can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Civista Bancshares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Civista Bancshares' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Civista Bancshares.
Civista Bancshares Implied Volatility | 0.9 |
Civista Bancshares' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Civista Bancshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Civista Bancshares' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Civista Bancshares stock will not fluctuate a lot when Civista Bancshares' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Civista Bancshares to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Civista because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Civista Bancshares after-hype prediction price | USD 20.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Civista contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Civista Bancshares will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0563% per day over the life of the 2025-09-19 option contract. With Civista Bancshares trading at USD 20.18, that is roughly USD 0.0114 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Civista Bancshares' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Civista Bancshares options at the current volatility level of 0.9%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Civista Bancshares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Civista Bancshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Civista Bancshares After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Civista Bancshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Civista Bancshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Civista Bancshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Civista Bancshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Civista Bancshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Civista Bancshares' historical news coverage. Civista Bancshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.60 and 22.72, respectively. We have considered Civista Bancshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Civista Bancshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Civista Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Civista Bancshares Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Civista Bancshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Civista Bancshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Civista Bancshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.54 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 18 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 18 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.18 | 20.16 | 0.10 |
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Civista Bancshares Hype Timeline
Civista Bancshares is currently traded for 20.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Civista is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.16. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Civista Bancshares is about 1503.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.20. About 46.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Civista Bancshares has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.93. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of August 2025. The firm had 4:1 split on the 5th of June 1996. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 18 days. Check out Civista Bancshares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Civista Bancshares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Civista Bancshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Civista Bancshares' future price movements. Getting to know how Civista Bancshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Civista Bancshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.09) | 8 per month | 0.88 | 0.07 | 3.17 | (2.09) | 8.56 | |
| QCRH | QCR Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.19 | 0.02 | 2.79 | (2.08) | 6.36 | |
| CZWI | Citizens Community Bancorp | 0.63 | 3 per month | 1.45 | (0.11) | 3.47 | (2.38) | 8.45 | |
| BSRR | Sierra Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | 0.05 | 3.34 | (2.53) | 10.03 | |
| FMBH | First Mid Illinois | 0.51 | 10 per month | 1.17 | 0.04 | 2.97 | (1.94) | 7.59 | |
| BWFG | Bankwell Financial Group | 0.65 | 11 per month | 1.11 | 0.14 | 2.82 | (1.96) | 8.78 | |
| FSBW | FS Bancorp | (0.06) | 6 per month | 1.52 | (0.09) | 1.92 | (2.43) | 8.87 | |
| MOFG | MidWestOne Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.61 | (0.07) | 2.45 | (3.48) | 7.59 | |
| HBCP | Home Bancorp | (0.12) | 4 per month | 1.23 | (0.01) | 2.55 | (1.82) | 6.62 |
Civista Bancshares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Civista price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Civista using various technical indicators. When you analyze Civista charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Civista Bancshares Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Civista Bancshares stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Civista Bancshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Civista Bancshares based on analysis of Civista Bancshares hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Civista Bancshares's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Civista Bancshares's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0258 | 0.0343 | 0.0495 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.15 | 1.29 | 2.62 |
Story Coverage note for Civista Bancshares
The number of cover stories for Civista Bancshares depends on current market conditions and Civista Bancshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Civista Bancshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Civista Bancshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Civista Bancshares Short Properties
Civista Bancshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when Civista Bancshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Civista Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Civista Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Civista Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 329.9 M |
Complementary Tools for Civista Stock analysis
When running Civista Bancshares' price analysis, check to measure Civista Bancshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Civista Bancshares is operating at the current time. Most of Civista Bancshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Civista Bancshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Civista Bancshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Civista Bancshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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