Avalanche Price Prediction
| AVAX Crypto | USD 24.23 0.14 0.57% |
Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Avalanche hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Avalanche from the perspective of Avalanche response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Avalanche Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Avalanche's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Avalanche. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Avalanche can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Avalanche. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding crypto coins that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Avalanche's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Avalanche.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Avalanche to buy its crypto coin at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Avalanche because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell crypto coins at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Avalanche after-hype prediction price | .CC 25.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as crypto price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Avalanche |
Avalanche After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Avalanche at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Avalanche or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Crypto Coin prices, such as prices of Avalanche, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Avalanche Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Avalanche's crypto coin value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Avalanche's historical news coverage. Avalanche's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.40 and 30.18, respectively. We have considered Avalanche's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Avalanche is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Avalanche is based on 3 months time horizon.
Avalanche Crypto Coin Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Cryptocurrency such as Avalanche is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Avalanche backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Crypto price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Avalanche, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 4.85 | 0.45 | 0.13 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.23 | 25.29 | 4.37 |
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Avalanche Hype Timeline
Avalanche is presently traded for 24.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.45, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Avalanche is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 25.29 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is anticipated to be 4.37%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Avalanche is about 1179.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.36. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Avalanche Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Avalanche Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Avalanche's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Avalanche's future price movements. Getting to know how Avalanche's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Avalanche may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STETH | Staked Ether | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.07 | 0.24 | 7.44 | (4.57) | 29.16 | |
| CRO | Cronos | 0.0003 | 3 per month | 2.44 | 0.14 | 9.09 | (4.66) | 27.27 | |
| WBTC | Wrapped Bitcoin | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.02 | 0.11 | 3.86 | (2.01) | 10.26 | |
| XMR | Monero | 3.30 | 1 per month | 2.90 | 0.04 | 5.66 | (4.55) | 21.80 | |
| USDT | Tether | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LINK | Chainlink | 0.37 | 1 per month | 3.57 | 0.05 | 8.18 | (6.86) | 22.55 | |
| USDC | USD Coin | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FTT | FTX Token | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.18 | (0.02) | 9.09 | (7.29) | 26.89 | |
| XLM | Stellar | 0.03 | 3 per month | 2.78 | 0.11 | 11.54 | (4.17) | 28.51 |
Avalanche Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Avalanche price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Avalanche using various technical indicators. When you analyze Avalanche charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
The successful prediction of Avalanche price could yield a significant profit to cryptocurrency investors. Theoretically, the cryptocurrency market should be highly efficient, with prices reflecting the accessible real-world information almost immediately. The crypto trading ecosystem has experienced unprecedented growth over the last few years and continues accelerating irrespective of its volatilities and bubbles. In general, Avalanche and other cryptocurrencies react quickly to the market and adjust based on demand and supply. This implies that the cryptocurrency market is highly efficient, with prices reflecting the accessible real-world information almost immediately. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Avalanche based on Avalanche hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Avalanche's market risk using different technical indicators and then compare them to Avalanche's related cryptocurrency tokens.
Story Coverage note for Avalanche
The number of cover stories for Avalanche depends on current market conditions and Avalanche's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Avalanche is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Avalanche's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Avalanche Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.