Ultimus Managers Trust Etf Performance

QVOY Etf   27.91  1.25  4.29%   
The entity has a beta of 0.0051, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ultimus Managers' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ultimus Managers is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ultimus Managers Trust has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Ultimus Managers is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Ultimus Managers Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,905  in Ultimus Managers Trust on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (114.00) from holding Ultimus Managers Trust or give up 3.92% of portfolio value over 90 days. Ultimus Managers Trust is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.4208% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 12% of etfs are less volatile than Ultimus, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ultimus Managers is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.92 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Ultimus Managers Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ultimus Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 27.91 90 days 27.91 
about 73.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ultimus Managers to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 73.08 (This Ultimus Managers Trust probability density function shows the probability of Ultimus Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ultimus Managers has a beta of 0.0051 indicating as returns on the market go up, Ultimus Managers average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ultimus Managers Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ultimus Managers Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ultimus Managers Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ultimus Managers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ultimus Managers Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.4927.9129.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.3025.7230.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.4527.8729.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.7528.1829.62
Details

Ultimus Managers Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ultimus Managers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ultimus Managers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ultimus Managers Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ultimus Managers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Ultimus Managers Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ultimus Managers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ultimus Managers Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ultimus Managers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Ultimus Managers Fundamentals Growth

Ultimus Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ultimus Managers, and Ultimus Managers fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ultimus Etf performance.

About Ultimus Managers Performance

Evaluating Ultimus Managers' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Ultimus Managers has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ultimus Managers has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Ultimus Managers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
When determining whether Ultimus Managers Trust is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ultimus Managers' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ultimus Managers' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ultimus Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ultimus Managers Trust. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Investors evaluate Ultimus Managers Trust using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Ultimus Managers' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Ultimus Managers' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Ultimus Managers' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Ultimus Managers should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Ultimus Managers' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.