Hellofresh Se Stock Performance
| HLFFF Stock | USD 6.61 0.13 1.93% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.33, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, HelloFresh's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding HelloFresh is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, HelloFresh SE has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to check out HelloFresh's skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and day median price , to decide if HelloFresh SE performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days HelloFresh SE has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 729 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -321.6 M |
HelloFresh |
HelloFresh Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 800.00 in HelloFresh SE on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (139.00) from holding HelloFresh SE or give up 17.37% of portfolio value over 90 days. HelloFresh SE is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 4.7961% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 43% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than HelloFresh, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
HelloFresh Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of HelloFresh Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 6.61 | 90 days | 6.61 | about 65.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HelloFresh to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 65.43 (This HelloFresh SE probability density function shows the probability of HelloFresh Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon HelloFresh has a beta of 0.33. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, HelloFresh average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HelloFresh SE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HelloFresh SE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. HelloFresh Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HelloFresh
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HelloFresh SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HelloFresh Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HelloFresh is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HelloFresh's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HelloFresh SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HelloFresh within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
HelloFresh Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HelloFresh for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HelloFresh SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HelloFresh SE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| HelloFresh SE has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
HelloFresh Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HelloFresh Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HelloFresh's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HelloFresh's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 168.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 835.5 M |
HelloFresh Fundamentals Growth
HelloFresh Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of HelloFresh, and HelloFresh fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on HelloFresh Pink Sheet performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0573 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 4.05 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 171.54 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 9.94 X | |||
| Price To Book | 4.53 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.58 X | |||
| Revenue | 5.99 B | |||
| EBITDA | 500.6 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 603.7 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 2.32 X | |||
| Total Debt | 155 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.17 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 5.58 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 458.6 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.88 X | |||
| Total Asset | 2.21 B | |||
About HelloFresh Performance
By analyzing HelloFresh's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into HelloFresh's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if HelloFresh has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if HelloFresh has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
HelloFresh SE delivers meal kit solutions to prepare home-cooked meals using its recipes. HelloFresh SE was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Berlin, Germany. HELLOFRESH is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.Things to note about HelloFresh SE performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about HelloFresh for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for HelloFresh SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HelloFresh SE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| HelloFresh SE has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
- Analyzing HelloFresh's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether HelloFresh's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining HelloFresh's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating HelloFresh's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of HelloFresh's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of HelloFresh's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into HelloFresh's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for HelloFresh Pink Sheet analysis
When running HelloFresh's price analysis, check to measure HelloFresh's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HelloFresh is operating at the current time. Most of HelloFresh's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HelloFresh's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HelloFresh's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HelloFresh to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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