Innovator Etfs Trust Etf Performance

BFRZ Etf   26.89  0.12  0.44%   
The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.37, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Innovator ETFs' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Innovator ETFs is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Innovator ETFs Trust has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Innovator ETFs is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
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Short Interest in Innovator Equity Managed 100 Buffer ETF Grows By 439.0 percent - Defense World
01/27/2026

Innovator ETFs Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,699  in Innovator ETFs Trust on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (10.00) from holding Innovator ETFs Trust or give up 0.37% of portfolio value over 90 days. Innovator ETFs Trust is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 0.379% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 3% of etfs are less volatile than Innovator, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Innovator ETFs is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 1.96 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Innovator ETFs Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Innovator Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 26.89 90 days 26.89 
about 34.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Innovator ETFs to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 34.03 (This Innovator ETFs Trust probability density function shows the probability of Innovator Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Innovator ETFs has a beta of 0.37 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Innovator ETFs average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Innovator ETFs Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Innovator ETFs Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Innovator ETFs Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Innovator ETFs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Innovator ETFs Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.5126.8927.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.4526.8327.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.5026.8827.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.7726.9327.08
Details

Innovator ETFs Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Innovator ETFs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Innovator ETFs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Innovator ETFs Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Innovator ETFs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Innovator ETFs Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Innovator ETFs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Innovator ETFs Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Innovator ETFs Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Short Interest in Innovator Equity Managed 100 Buffer ETF Grows By 439.0 percent - Defense World

About Innovator ETFs Performance

Evaluating Innovator ETFs' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Innovator ETFs has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Innovator ETFs has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Innovator ETFs is entity of United States. It is traded as Etf on NYSE ARCA exchange.
Innovator ETFs Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Short Interest in Innovator Equity Managed 100 Buffer ETF Grows By 439.0 percent - Defense World
When determining whether Innovator ETFs Trust is a strong investment it is important to analyze Innovator ETFs' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Innovator ETFs' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Innovator Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Innovator ETFs Trust. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Understanding Innovator ETFs Trust requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Innovator's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Innovator ETFs' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Innovator ETFs' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Innovator ETFs' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Innovator ETFs should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Innovator ETFs' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.