Correlation Between Small Cap and Intermediate Term

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Small Cap and Intermediate Term at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Small Cap and Intermediate Term into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Small Cap Stock and Intermediate Term Bond Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Small Cap and Intermediate Term and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Small Cap with a short position of Intermediate Term. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Small Cap and Intermediate Term.

Diversification Opportunities for Small Cap and Intermediate Term

0.67
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Small and Intermediate is 0.67. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Small Cap Stock and Intermediate Term Bond Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Intermediate Term Bond and Small Cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Small Cap Stock are associated (or correlated) with Intermediate Term. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Intermediate Term Bond has no effect on the direction of Small Cap i.e., Small Cap and Intermediate Term go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Small Cap and Intermediate Term

Assuming the 90 days horizon Small Cap Stock is expected to generate 3.9 times more return on investment than Intermediate Term. However, Small Cap is 3.9 times more volatile than Intermediate Term Bond Fund. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Intermediate Term Bond Fund is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,195  in Small Cap Stock on April 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  172.00  from holding Small Cap Stock or generate 14.39% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Small Cap Stock  vs.  Intermediate Term Bond Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Small Cap Stock 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Small Cap Stock are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, Small Cap showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Intermediate Term Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Intermediate Term Bond Fund are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Intermediate Term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Small Cap and Intermediate Term Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Small Cap and Intermediate Term

The main advantage of trading using opposite Small Cap and Intermediate Term positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Small Cap position performs unexpectedly, Intermediate Term can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Intermediate Term will offset losses from the drop in Intermediate Term's long position.
The idea behind Small Cap Stock and Intermediate Term Bond Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.

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