Zevia Pbc Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ZVIA Stock  USD 2.05  0.06  3.02%   
Zevia Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Zevia Pbc stock prices and determine the direction of Zevia Pbc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Zevia Pbc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Zevia Pbc's share price is approaching 45. This usually means that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Zevia Pbc, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Zevia Pbc's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Zevia Pbc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Zevia Pbc's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.04)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.13)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.07)
Wall Street Target Price
4.7714
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.05)
Using Zevia Pbc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Zevia Pbc from the perspective of Zevia Pbc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Zevia Pbc using Zevia Pbc's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Zevia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Zevia Pbc's stock price.

Zevia Pbc Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Zevia Pbc's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Zevia. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Zevia Pbc stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
2.6186
Short Percent
0.0348
Short Ratio
1.29
Shares Short Prior Month
1.2 M
50 Day MA
2.353

Zevia Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zevia Pbc on the next trading day is expected to be 2.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.53.

Zevia Pbc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Zevia Pbc's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Zevia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Zevia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Zevia Pbc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Zevia Pbc's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Zevia Pbc.

Zevia Pbc Implied Volatility

    
  1.78  
Zevia Pbc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Zevia Pbc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Zevia Pbc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Zevia Pbc stock will not fluctuate a lot when Zevia Pbc's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zevia Pbc on the next trading day is expected to be 2.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.53.

Zevia Pbc after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zevia Pbc to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Zevia Stock refer to our How to Trade Zevia Stock guide.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Zevia Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Zevia Pbc's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Zevia Pbc's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Zevia Pbc stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Zevia Pbc's open interest, investors have to compare it to Zevia Pbc's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Zevia Pbc is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Zevia. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Zevia Pbc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Zevia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zevia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zevia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Zevia Pbc Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Zevia Pbc's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2020-03-31
Previous Quarter
26.3 M
Current Value
26 M
Quarterly Volatility
18.2 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Zevia Pbc is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Zevia Pbc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Zevia Pbc Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zevia Pbc on the next trading day is expected to be 2.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zevia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zevia Pbc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zevia Pbc Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Zevia Pbc  Zevia Pbc Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Zevia Pbc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Zevia Pbc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zevia Pbc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 6.33, respectively. We have considered Zevia Pbc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.05
2.36
Expected Value
6.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zevia Pbc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zevia Pbc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.2856
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0743
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0328
SAESum of the absolute errors4.5335
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Zevia Pbc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Zevia Pbc. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Zevia Pbc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zevia Pbc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.102.005.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.666.64
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.344.775.30
Details

Zevia Pbc After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Zevia Pbc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Zevia Pbc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Zevia Pbc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Zevia Pbc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Zevia Pbc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Zevia Pbc's historical news coverage. Zevia Pbc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 5.98, respectively. We have considered Zevia Pbc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.05
2.00
After-hype Price
5.98
Upside
Zevia Pbc is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Zevia Pbc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Zevia Pbc Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Zevia Pbc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Zevia Pbc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Zevia Pbc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
3.97
 0.00  
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.05
2.00
0.50 
19,850  
Notes

Zevia Pbc Hype Timeline

Zevia Pbc is at this time traded for 2.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Zevia is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.0 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Zevia Pbc is about 9022.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.04. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 155.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 78.76 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zevia Pbc to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Zevia Stock refer to our How to Trade Zevia Stock guide.

Zevia Pbc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Zevia Pbc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Zevia Pbc's future price movements. Getting to know how Zevia Pbc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Zevia Pbc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SKINBeauty Health Co 0.11 10 per month 3.65  0.04  6.94 (5.92) 19.17 
EPSMEpsium Enterprise Limited 0.05 5 per month 0.00 (0.14) 16.99 (22.78) 110.67 
ABVEAbove Food Ingredients 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 13.68 (14.98) 47.08 
ACUAcme United 0.00 0 per month 1.28  0.04  3.87 (2.42) 9.49 
YOULYoulife Group American(0.24)4 per month 7.95  0.01  11.50 (12.43) 54.17 
FTLFFitLife Brands Common(0.36)7 per month 0.00 (0.12) 4.16 (3.94) 8.98 
HFFGHf Foods Group 0.00 0 per month 2.70 (0.03) 4.65 (4.70) 16.37 
BRFHBarfresh Food Group 0.00 0 per month 3.95 (0.01) 7.84 (6.27) 26.25 
SKILSkillsoft Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 13.00 (11.15) 39.40 
VSATCTM Kids IT 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.28) 13.91 (23.98) 95.75 

Other Forecasting Options for Zevia Pbc

For every potential investor in Zevia, whether a beginner or expert, Zevia Pbc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zevia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zevia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zevia Pbc's price trends.

Zevia Pbc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zevia Pbc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zevia Pbc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zevia Pbc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zevia Pbc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zevia Pbc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zevia Pbc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zevia Pbc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zevia Pbc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Zevia Pbc Risk Indicators

The analysis of Zevia Pbc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zevia Pbc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zevia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Zevia Pbc

The number of cover stories for Zevia Pbc depends on current market conditions and Zevia Pbc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Zevia Pbc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Zevia Pbc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Zevia Pbc Short Properties

Zevia Pbc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Zevia Pbc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Zevia Pbc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Zevia Pbc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zevia Pbc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding58.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments30.7 M
When determining whether Zevia Pbc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Zevia Pbc's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Zevia Pbc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Zevia Pbc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zevia Pbc to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Zevia Stock refer to our How to Trade Zevia Stock guide.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Zevia Pbc. If investors know Zevia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Zevia Pbc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.22)
Revenue Per Share
2.532
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.123
Return On Assets
(0.12)
Return On Equity
(0.39)
The market value of Zevia Pbc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Zevia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Zevia Pbc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Zevia Pbc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Zevia Pbc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Zevia Pbc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Zevia Pbc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Zevia Pbc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Zevia Pbc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.