Yatsen Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.87
| YSG Stock | USD 3.90 0.03 0.78% |
Closest to current price Yatsen long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Yatsen |
Yatsen Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 3.87
The tendency of Yatsen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.87 or more in 90 days |
| 3.90 | 90 days | 3.87 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yatsen Holding to drop to $ 3.87 or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Yatsen Holding probability density function shows the probability of Yatsen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yatsen Holding price to stay between $ 3.87 and its current price of $3.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.29 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Yatsen Holding has a beta of 0.64. This entails as returns on the market go up, Yatsen Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yatsen Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yatsen Holding has an alpha of 0.0369, implying that it can generate a 0.0369 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Yatsen Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Yatsen Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yatsen Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Yatsen Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Yatsen Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yatsen Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yatsen Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yatsen Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yatsen Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0085 |
Yatsen Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yatsen Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yatsen Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Yatsen Holding had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Yatsen Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.41 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (750.23 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.52 B. | |
| Yatsen Holding has about 3.14 B in cash with (107.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.06, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Yatsen Holding has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: YSG Stock Surges Amid Positive Market Activity |
Yatsen Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yatsen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yatsen Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yatsen Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 109.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
Yatsen Holding Technical Analysis
Yatsen Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yatsen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yatsen Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yatsen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Yatsen Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Yatsen Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yatsen Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yatsen Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Yatsen Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Yatsen Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yatsen Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Yatsen Holding had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Yatsen Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.41 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (750.23 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.52 B. | |
| Yatsen Holding has about 3.14 B in cash with (107.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.06, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Yatsen Holding has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: YSG Stock Surges Amid Positive Market Activity |
Check out Yatsen Holding Backtesting, Yatsen Holding Valuation, Yatsen Holding Correlation, Yatsen Holding Hype Analysis, Yatsen Holding Volatility, Yatsen Holding History as well as Yatsen Holding Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Yatsen Stock please use our How to Invest in Yatsen Holding guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Yatsen Holding. If investors know Yatsen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Yatsen Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.14) | Revenue Per Share 31.597 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets (0.08) | Return On Equity (0.20) |
The market value of Yatsen Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Yatsen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Yatsen Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Yatsen Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Yatsen Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Yatsen Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Yatsen Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Yatsen Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Yatsen Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.