Webster Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 46.43
| WBS Stock | USD 59.84 0.24 0.40% |
Webster |
Webster Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 46.43
The tendency of Webster Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 46.43 or more in 90 days |
| 59.84 | 90 days | 46.43 | about 35.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Webster Financial to drop to $ 46.43 or more in 90 days from now is about 35.66 (This Webster Financial probability density function shows the probability of Webster Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Webster Financial price to stay between $ 46.43 and its current price of $59.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.77 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.88 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Webster Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Webster Financial has an alpha of 0.103, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Webster Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Webster Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Webster Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Webster Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Webster Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Webster Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Webster Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Webster Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Webster Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Webster Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Webster Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Webster Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Webster Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 12th of November 2024 Webster Financial paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Webster Financial Corp Shares Up 4.75 percent on Nov 11 |
Webster Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Webster Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Webster Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Webster Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 171.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Webster Financial Technical Analysis
Webster Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Webster Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Webster Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Webster Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Webster Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Webster Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Webster Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Webster Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Webster Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Webster Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Webster Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Webster Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Webster Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 12th of November 2024 Webster Financial paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Webster Financial Corp Shares Up 4.75 percent on Nov 11 |
Additional Tools for Webster Stock Analysis
When running Webster Financial's price analysis, check to measure Webster Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Webster Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Webster Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Webster Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Webster Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Webster Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.