William Blair Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.56

WBGSX Fund  USD 12.41  0.23  1.89%   
William Blair's future price is the expected price of William Blair instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of William Blair Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out William Blair Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, William Blair Correlation, William Blair Hype Analysis, William Blair Volatility, William Blair History as well as William Blair Performance.
  
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William Blair Target Price Odds to finish below 8.56

The tendency of WILLIAM Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 8.56  or more in 90 days
 12.41 90 days 8.56 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of William Blair to drop to $ 8.56  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This William Blair Growth probability density function shows the probability of WILLIAM Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of William Blair Growth price to stay between $ 8.56  and its current price of $12.41 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon William Blair Growth has a beta of -0.0563. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding William Blair are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, William Blair Growth is likely to outperform the market. Additionally William Blair Growth has an alpha of 0.1509, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   William Blair Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for William Blair

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as William Blair Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of William Blair's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2712.1813.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1511.0613.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.3212.2313.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.8311.9912.16
Details

William Blair Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. William Blair is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the William Blair's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold William Blair Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of William Blair within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

William Blair Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of William Blair for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for William Blair Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 97.95% of its net assets in stocks

William Blair Technical Analysis

William Blair's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WILLIAM Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of William Blair Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing WILLIAM Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

William Blair Predictive Forecast Models

William Blair's time-series forecasting models is one of many William Blair's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary William Blair's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about William Blair Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about William Blair for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for William Blair Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 97.95% of its net assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in WILLIAM Mutual Fund

William Blair financial ratios help investors to determine whether WILLIAM Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WILLIAM with respect to the benefits of owning William Blair security.
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