Via Renewables Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 20.32

VIASP Preferred Stock  USD 21.85  0.07  0.32%   
Via Renewables' future price is the expected price of Via Renewables instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Via Renewables performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Via Renewables Backtesting, Via Renewables Valuation, Via Renewables Correlation, Via Renewables Hype Analysis, Via Renewables Volatility, Via Renewables History as well as Via Renewables Performance.
  
Please specify Via Renewables' target price for which you would like Via Renewables odds to be computed.

Via Renewables Target Price Odds to finish over 20.32

The tendency of Via Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 20.32  in 90 days
 21.85 90 days 20.32 
about 68.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Via Renewables to stay above $ 20.32  in 90 days from now is about 68.24 (This Via Renewables probability density function shows the probability of Via Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Via Renewables price to stay between $ 20.32  and its current price of $21.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.2 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Via Renewables has a beta of 0.2. This entails as returns on the market go up, Via Renewables average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Via Renewables will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Via Renewables has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Via Renewables Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Via Renewables

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Via Renewables. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Via Renewables' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.1021.7824.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.9517.6323.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.9721.6424.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.6121.1322.64
Details

Via Renewables Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Via Renewables is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Via Renewables' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Via Renewables, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Via Renewables within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
1.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Via Renewables Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Via Renewables for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Via Renewables can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Via Renewables generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Via Renewables has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

Via Renewables Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Via Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Via Renewables' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Via Renewables' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments68.9 M

Via Renewables Technical Analysis

Via Renewables' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Via Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Via Renewables. In general, you should focus on analyzing Via Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Via Renewables Predictive Forecast Models

Via Renewables' time-series forecasting models is one of many Via Renewables' preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Via Renewables' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Via Renewables

Checking the ongoing alerts about Via Renewables for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Via Renewables help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Via Renewables generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Via Renewables has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

Additional Tools for Via Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Via Renewables' price analysis, check to measure Via Renewables' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Via Renewables is operating at the current time. Most of Via Renewables' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Via Renewables' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Via Renewables' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Via Renewables to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.