Star Health (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 426.66

STARHEALTH   435.55  9.10  2.05%   
Star Health's future price is the expected price of Star Health instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Star Health and performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Star Health Backtesting, Star Health Valuation, Star Health Correlation, Star Health Hype Analysis, Star Health Volatility, Star Health History as well as Star Health Performance.
  
Please specify Star Health's target price for which you would like Star Health odds to be computed.

Star Health Target Price Odds to finish over 426.66

The tendency of Star Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  426.66  in 90 days
 435.55 90 days 426.66 
about 60.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Star Health to stay above  426.66  in 90 days from now is about 60.13 (This Star Health and probability density function shows the probability of Star Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Star Health price to stay between  426.66  and its current price of 435.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Star Health has a beta of 0.25. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Star Health average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Star Health and will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Star Health and has an alpha of 0.2924, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Star Health Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Star Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Star Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
433.64435.55437.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
392.00508.36510.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
425.73427.64429.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
417.93434.65451.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Star Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Star Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Star Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Star Health.

Star Health Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Star Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Star Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Star Health and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Star Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
28.64
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Star Health Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Star Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Star Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Star Health Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Star Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Star Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Star Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding594.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.6 B

Star Health Technical Analysis

Star Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Star Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Star Health and. In general, you should focus on analyzing Star Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Star Health Predictive Forecast Models

Star Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Star Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Star Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Star Health

Checking the ongoing alerts about Star Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Star Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Star Stock

Star Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Star Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Star with respect to the benefits of owning Star Health security.