Saddle Ranch Media Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.00

SRMX Stock  USD 0.0002  0.0001  33.33%   
Saddle Ranch's future price is the expected price of Saddle Ranch instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Saddle Ranch Media performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Saddle Ranch Backtesting, Saddle Ranch Valuation, Saddle Ranch Correlation, Saddle Ranch Hype Analysis, Saddle Ranch Volatility, Saddle Ranch History as well as Saddle Ranch Performance.
  
Please specify Saddle Ranch's target price for which you would like Saddle Ranch odds to be computed.

Saddle Ranch Target Price Odds to finish below 0.00

The tendency of Saddle Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days
 0.0002 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saddle Ranch to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Saddle Ranch Media probability density function shows the probability of Saddle Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Saddle Ranch Media price to stay between $ 0.00  and its current price of $2.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.37 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Saddle Ranch Media has a beta of -10.71. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Saddle Ranch Media are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Saddle Ranch is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Saddle Ranch Media has an alpha of 8.2705, implying that it can generate a 8.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Saddle Ranch Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Saddle Ranch

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saddle Ranch Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Saddle Ranch's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000237.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000237.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000050.000237.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00020.00020.0002
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Saddle Ranch. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Saddle Ranch's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Saddle Ranch's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Saddle Ranch Media.

Saddle Ranch Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saddle Ranch is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saddle Ranch's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saddle Ranch Media, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saddle Ranch within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
8.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones-10.71
σ
Overall volatility
0.00005
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Saddle Ranch Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saddle Ranch for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saddle Ranch Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Saddle Ranch Media is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Saddle Ranch Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Saddle Ranch Media appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Saddle Ranch Media currently holds 1.61 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Saddle Ranch Media has a current ratio of 0.09, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Saddle Ranch until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Saddle Ranch's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Saddle Ranch Media sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Saddle to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Saddle Ranch's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 24.83 K. Net Loss for the year was (585.17 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.45 M).
Saddle Ranch Media currently holds about 19.92 K in cash with (255.76 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

Saddle Ranch Technical Analysis

Saddle Ranch's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saddle Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saddle Ranch Media. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saddle Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Saddle Ranch Predictive Forecast Models

Saddle Ranch's time-series forecasting models is one of many Saddle Ranch's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Saddle Ranch's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Saddle Ranch Media

Checking the ongoing alerts about Saddle Ranch for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Saddle Ranch Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Saddle Ranch Media is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Saddle Ranch Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Saddle Ranch Media appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Saddle Ranch Media currently holds 1.61 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Saddle Ranch Media has a current ratio of 0.09, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Saddle Ranch until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Saddle Ranch's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Saddle Ranch Media sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Saddle to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Saddle Ranch's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 24.83 K. Net Loss for the year was (585.17 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.45 M).
Saddle Ranch Media currently holds about 19.92 K in cash with (255.76 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

Additional Tools for Saddle Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Saddle Ranch's price analysis, check to measure Saddle Ranch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Saddle Ranch is operating at the current time. Most of Saddle Ranch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Saddle Ranch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Saddle Ranch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Saddle Ranch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.