Sezzle Common Stock Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 139.21

SEZL Stock   144.00  10.84  7.00%   
Sezzle Common's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Sezzle Common Stock. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Sezzle Common based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Sezzle Common Stock over a specific time period. For example, SEZL251017C00145000 is a PUT option contract on Sezzle Common's common stock with a strick price of 145.0 expiring on 2025-10-17. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 75 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $26.3, and an ask price of $27.6. The implied volatility as of the 3rd of August is 75.0. View All Sezzle options

Closest to current price Sezzle long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Sezzle Common's future price is the expected price of Sezzle Common instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sezzle Common Stock performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sezzle Common Backtesting, Sezzle Common Valuation, Sezzle Common Correlation, Sezzle Common Hype Analysis, Sezzle Common Volatility, Sezzle Common History as well as Sezzle Common Performance.
At this time, Sezzle Common's Price To Book Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price Cash Flow Ratio is expected to rise to 37.29 this year, although the value of Price To Sales Ratio will most likely fall to 5.09. Please specify Sezzle Common's target price for which you would like Sezzle Common odds to be computed.

Sezzle Common Target Price Odds to finish below 139.21

The tendency of Sezzle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  139.21  or more in 90 days
 144.00 90 days 139.21 
about 66.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sezzle Common to drop to  139.21  or more in 90 days from now is about 66.57 (This Sezzle Common Stock probability density function shows the probability of Sezzle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sezzle Common Stock price to stay between  139.21  and its current price of 144.0 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.81 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.19 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sezzle Common will likely underperform. Moreover Sezzle Common Stock has an alpha of 1.5459, implying that it can generate a 1.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sezzle Common Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sezzle Common

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sezzle Common Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
105.64112.85158.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
105.00112.21158.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
164.51171.72178.93
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
82.3690.50100.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sezzle Common. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sezzle Common's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sezzle Common's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sezzle Common Stock.

Sezzle Common Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sezzle Common is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sezzle Common's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sezzle Common Stock, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sezzle Common within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.19
σ
Overall volatility
35.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

Sezzle Common Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sezzle Common for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sezzle Common Stock can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sezzle Common Stock is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Sezzle Common Stock appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Sezzle Common Stock is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Sezzle Common Stock has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 3000 shares by Paul Paradis of Sezzle Common at 135.34 subject to Rule 16b-3

Sezzle Common Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sezzle Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sezzle Common's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sezzle Common's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments73.2 M

Sezzle Common Technical Analysis

Sezzle Common's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sezzle Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sezzle Common Stock. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sezzle Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sezzle Common Predictive Forecast Models

Sezzle Common's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sezzle Common's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sezzle Common's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sezzle Common Stock

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sezzle Common for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sezzle Common Stock help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sezzle Common Stock is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Sezzle Common Stock appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Sezzle Common Stock is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Sezzle Common Stock has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 3000 shares by Paul Paradis of Sezzle Common at 135.34 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Sezzle Common Stock is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sezzle Common's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sezzle Common's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sezzle Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Transaction & Payment Processing Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sezzle Common. If investors know Sezzle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sezzle Common listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.545
Earnings Share
2.97
Revenue Per Share
9.769
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.233
Return On Assets
0.4583
The market value of Sezzle Common Stock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sezzle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sezzle Common's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sezzle Common's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sezzle Common's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sezzle Common's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sezzle Common's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sezzle Common is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sezzle Common's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.