Aptera Motors Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.56
| SEV Stock | USD 4.56 0.28 6.54% |
Closest to current price Aptera long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Aptera Motors Target Price Odds to finish over 4.56
The tendency of Aptera Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.56 | 90 days | 4.56 | about 85.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aptera Motors to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.16 (This Aptera Motors Corp probability density function shows the probability of Aptera Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Aptera Motors Corp has a beta of -0.0359. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aptera Motors are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aptera Motors Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aptera Motors Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aptera Motors Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Aptera Motors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aptera Motors Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aptera Motors' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aptera Motors Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aptera Motors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aptera Motors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aptera Motors Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aptera Motors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Aptera Motors Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aptera Motors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aptera Motors Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aptera Motors Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (63.95 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Aptera Motors Corp has about 89.77 M in cash with (47.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.06. | |
| Aptera Motors Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure Holds ASX 300 Amid Sector |
Aptera Motors Technical Analysis
Aptera Motors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aptera Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aptera Motors Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aptera Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aptera Motors Predictive Forecast Models
Aptera Motors' time-series forecasting models is one of many Aptera Motors' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aptera Motors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aptera Motors Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aptera Motors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aptera Motors Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aptera Motors Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (63.95 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Aptera Motors Corp has about 89.77 M in cash with (47.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.06. | |
| Aptera Motors Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure Holds ASX 300 Amid Sector |
Additional Tools for Aptera Stock Analysis
When running Aptera Motors' price analysis, check to measure Aptera Motors' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aptera Motors is operating at the current time. Most of Aptera Motors' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aptera Motors' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aptera Motors' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aptera Motors to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.