Multi Strategy Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.52

RMYYX Fund  USD 9.80  0.04  0.41%   
Multi Strategy's future price is the expected price of Multi Strategy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Multi Strategy Income Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Multi Strategy Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Multi Strategy Correlation, Multi Strategy Hype Analysis, Multi Strategy Volatility, Multi Strategy History as well as Multi Strategy Performance.
  
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Multi Strategy Target Price Odds to finish below 9.52

The tendency of Multi Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.52  or more in 90 days
 9.80 90 days 9.52 
about 22.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Multi Strategy to drop to $ 9.52  or more in 90 days from now is about 22.66 (This Multi Strategy Income Fund probability density function shows the probability of Multi Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Multi Strategy Income price to stay between $ 9.52  and its current price of $9.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.97 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Multi Strategy Income Fund has a beta of -0.0016 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Multi Strategy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Multi Strategy Income Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Multi Strategy Income Fund has an alpha of 0.0749, implying that it can generate a 0.0749 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Multi Strategy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Multi Strategy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multi Strategy Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Multi Strategy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.509.8210.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.469.7810.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.559.8710.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.789.849.90
Details

Multi Strategy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Multi Strategy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Multi Strategy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Multi Strategy Income Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Multi Strategy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0016
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Multi Strategy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Multi Strategy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Multi Strategy Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 15.56% of its assets in cash

Multi Strategy Technical Analysis

Multi Strategy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Multi Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Multi Strategy Income Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Multi Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Multi Strategy Predictive Forecast Models

Multi Strategy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Multi Strategy's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Multi Strategy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Multi Strategy Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Multi Strategy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Multi Strategy Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 15.56% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Multi Mutual Fund

Multi Strategy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Multi Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Multi with respect to the benefits of owning Multi Strategy security.
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