Teachers Insurance And Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 459.19
| QREARX Fund | USD 458.85 0.16 0.03% |
Teachers |
Teachers Insurance Target Price Odds to finish below 459.19
The tendency of Teachers Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 459.19 after 90 days |
| 458.85 | 90 days | 459.19 | about 49.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Teachers Insurance to stay under $ 459.19 after 90 days from now is about 49.86 (This Teachers Insurance And probability density function shows the probability of Teachers Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Teachers Insurance And price to stay between its current price of $ 458.85 and $ 459.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Teachers Insurance And has a beta of -0.0016 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Teachers Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Teachers Insurance And is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Teachers Insurance And has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Teachers Insurance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Teachers Insurance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teachers Insurance And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Teachers Insurance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Teachers Insurance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Teachers Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Teachers Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Teachers Insurance And, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Teachers Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0016 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -1.09 |
Teachers Insurance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Teachers Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Teachers Insurance And can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Teachers Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Teachers Insurance Technical Analysis
Teachers Insurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Teachers Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Teachers Insurance And. In general, you should focus on analyzing Teachers Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Teachers Insurance Predictive Forecast Models
Teachers Insurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Teachers Insurance's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Teachers Insurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Teachers Insurance And
Checking the ongoing alerts about Teachers Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Teachers Insurance And help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Teachers Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Teachers Fund
Teachers Insurance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Teachers Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Teachers with respect to the benefits of owning Teachers Insurance security.
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