Psb Holdings Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 25.70

PSBQ Stock  USD 25.70  0.28  1.08%   
PSB Holdings' future price is the expected price of PSB Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PSB Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PSB Holdings Backtesting, PSB Holdings Valuation, PSB Holdings Correlation, PSB Holdings Hype Analysis, PSB Holdings Volatility, PSB Holdings History as well as PSB Holdings Performance.
  
Please specify PSB Holdings' target price for which you would like PSB Holdings odds to be computed.

PSB Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 25.70

The tendency of PSB OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.70 90 days 25.70 
about 15.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PSB Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.87 (This PSB Holdings probability density function shows the probability of PSB OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days PSB Holdings has a beta of 0.018 indicating as returns on the market go up, PSB Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PSB Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PSB Holdings has an alpha of 0.0955, implying that it can generate a 0.0955 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PSB Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PSB Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PSB Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PSB Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.8625.7026.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.1330.2331.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.3025.1425.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.6326.1726.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PSB Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PSB Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PSB Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PSB Holdings.

PSB Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PSB Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PSB Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PSB Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PSB Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

PSB Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PSB OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PSB Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PSB Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.4 M

PSB Holdings Technical Analysis

PSB Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PSB OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PSB Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing PSB OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PSB Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

PSB Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many PSB Holdings' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PSB Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards PSB Holdings in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, PSB Holdings' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from PSB Holdings options trading.

Additional Tools for PSB OTC Stock Analysis

When running PSB Holdings' price analysis, check to measure PSB Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PSB Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of PSB Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PSB Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PSB Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PSB Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.