Putnam Growth Opportunities Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 69.04

POGAX Fund  USD 71.59  0.20  0.28%   
Putnam Growth's future price is the expected price of Putnam Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Putnam Growth Opportunities performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Putnam Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Putnam Growth Correlation, Putnam Growth Hype Analysis, Putnam Growth Volatility, Putnam Growth History as well as Putnam Growth Performance.
  
Please specify Putnam Growth's target price for which you would like Putnam Growth odds to be computed.

Putnam Growth Target Price Odds to finish over 69.04

The tendency of Putnam Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 69.04  in 90 days
 71.59 90 days 69.04 
about 18.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Putnam Growth to stay above $ 69.04  in 90 days from now is about 18.07 (This Putnam Growth Opportunities probability density function shows the probability of Putnam Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Putnam Growth Opport price to stay between $ 69.04  and its current price of $71.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.2 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.01 indicating Putnam Growth Opportunities market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Putnam Growth is expected to follow. Additionally Putnam Growth Opportunities has an alpha of 0.0565, implying that it can generate a 0.0565 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Putnam Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Putnam Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Putnam Growth Opport. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
70.4871.5972.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.4661.5778.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
71.6072.7273.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
66.5068.9271.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Putnam Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Putnam Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Putnam Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Putnam Growth Opport.

Putnam Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Putnam Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Putnam Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Putnam Growth Opportunities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Putnam Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.01
σ
Overall volatility
2.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Putnam Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Putnam Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Putnam Growth Opport can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.91% of its assets in stocks

Putnam Growth Technical Analysis

Putnam Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Putnam Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Putnam Growth Opportunities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Putnam Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Putnam Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Putnam Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Putnam Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Putnam Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Putnam Growth Opport

Checking the ongoing alerts about Putnam Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Putnam Growth Opport help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.91% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Putnam Mutual Fund

Putnam Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Putnam Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Putnam with respect to the benefits of owning Putnam Growth security.
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