Precision Optics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.19
| POCI Stock | 5.19 0.21 4.22% |
Precision | Build AI portfolio with Precision Stock |
Precision Optics Target Price Odds to finish over 5.19
The tendency of Precision Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 5.19 | 90 days | 5.19 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Precision Optics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Precision Optics probability density function shows the probability of Precision Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.21 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Precision Optics will likely underperform. Additionally Precision Optics has an alpha of 0.2565, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Precision Optics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Precision Optics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Precision Optics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Precision Optics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Precision Optics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Precision Optics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Precision Optics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Precision Optics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Precision Optics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Precision Optics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Precision Optics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Precision Optics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Precision Optics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 19.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.23 M. | |
| Precision Optics generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Precision Optics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: HIGH PRECISION OPTICS OVERRUN LIST INCLUDES FIRST-QUALITY PARTS AND FAST DELIVERY - Yahoo Finance Singapore |
Precision Optics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Precision Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Precision Optics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Precision Optics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 M |
Precision Optics Technical Analysis
Precision Optics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Precision Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Precision Optics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Precision Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Precision Optics Predictive Forecast Models
Precision Optics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Precision Optics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Precision Optics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Precision Optics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Precision Optics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Precision Optics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Precision Optics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 19.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.23 M. | |
| Precision Optics generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Precision Optics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: HIGH PRECISION OPTICS OVERRUN LIST INCLUDES FIRST-QUALITY PARTS AND FAST DELIVERY - Yahoo Finance Singapore |
Check out Precision Optics Analysis, Precision Optics Valuation, Precision Optics Correlation, Precision Optics Hype Analysis, Precision Optics Volatility, Precision Optics Price History as well as Precision Optics Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Precision Stock please use our How to Invest in Precision Optics guide.You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is there potential for Health Care Equipment & Supplies market expansion? Will Precision introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Precision Optics. Anticipated expansion of Precision directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Precision Optics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.85) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.592 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Precision Optics requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Precision's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Precision Optics' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Precision Optics' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Precision Optics' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Precision Optics should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Precision Optics' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.