Nmi Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 35.08
| NMIH Stock | USD 38.27 0.35 0.92% |
NMI |
NMI Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 35.08
The tendency of NMI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 35.08 or more in 90 days |
| 38.27 | 90 days | 35.08 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NMI Holdings to drop to $ 35.08 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This NMI Holdings probability density function shows the probability of NMI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NMI Holdings price to stay between $ 35.08 and its current price of $38.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.88 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days NMI Holdings has a beta of 0.81. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NMI Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NMI Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NMI Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. NMI Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NMI Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NMI Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NMI Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NMI Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NMI Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NMI Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NMI Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
NMI Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NMI Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NMI Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NMI Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NMI Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| NMI Holdings currently holds 409 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.27, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. NMI Holdings has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about NMI Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of NMI Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Quest Partners LLC Buys 41,371 Shares of NMI Holdings, Inc. |
NMI Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NMI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NMI Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NMI Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 333.3 M |
NMI Holdings Technical Analysis
NMI Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NMI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NMI Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing NMI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NMI Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
NMI Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many NMI Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NMI Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NMI Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about NMI Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NMI Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NMI Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NMI Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| NMI Holdings currently holds 409 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.27, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. NMI Holdings has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about NMI Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of NMI Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Quest Partners LLC Buys 41,371 Shares of NMI Holdings, Inc. |
Check out NMI Holdings Backtesting, NMI Holdings Valuation, NMI Holdings Correlation, NMI Holdings Hype Analysis, NMI Holdings Volatility, NMI Holdings History as well as NMI Holdings Performance. For more detail on how to invest in NMI Stock please use our How to Invest in NMI Holdings guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NMI Holdings. If investors know NMI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NMI Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.15 | Earnings Share 4.39 | Revenue Per Share 7.914 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.121 | Return On Assets 0.1019 |
The market value of NMI Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NMI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NMI Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NMI Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NMI Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NMI Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NMI Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NMI Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NMI Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.