National Healthcare Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 149.29
| NHC Stock | USD 149.29 6.18 4.32% |
Closest to current price National long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
National HealthCare Target Price Odds to finish over 149.29
The tendency of National Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 149.29 | 90 days | 149.29 | about 1.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of National HealthCare to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.34 (This National HealthCare probability density function shows the probability of National Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
National HealthCare Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for National HealthCare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National HealthCare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.National HealthCare Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. National HealthCare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the National HealthCare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold National HealthCare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of National HealthCare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
National HealthCare Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of National HealthCare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for National HealthCare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 30th of January 2026 National HealthCare paid $ 0.64 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: National HealthCare Shares Pass Above 200-Day Moving Average - Should You Sell - MarketBeat |
National HealthCare Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of National Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential National HealthCare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National HealthCare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 216.2 M |
National HealthCare Technical Analysis
National HealthCare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. National Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of National HealthCare. In general, you should focus on analyzing National Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
National HealthCare Predictive Forecast Models
National HealthCare's time-series forecasting models is one of many National HealthCare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary National HealthCare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about National HealthCare
Checking the ongoing alerts about National HealthCare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for National HealthCare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 30th of January 2026 National HealthCare paid $ 0.64 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: National HealthCare Shares Pass Above 200-Day Moving Average - Should You Sell - MarketBeat |
Check out National HealthCare Analysis, National HealthCare Valuation, National HealthCare Correlation, National HealthCare Hype Analysis, National HealthCare Volatility, National HealthCare Price History as well as National HealthCare Performance. For information on how to trade National Stock refer to our How to Trade National Stock guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Will Health Care Providers & Services sector continue expanding? Could National diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National HealthCare. Anticipated expansion of National directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every National HealthCare data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | Dividend Share 2.5 | Earnings Share 6.48 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.125 |
The market value of National HealthCare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National HealthCare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National HealthCare's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because National HealthCare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National HealthCare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between National HealthCare's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding National HealthCare should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, National HealthCare's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.